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Economic integration and industrial sector fluctuations: evidence from Italy

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  • Tatiana Cesaroni

    (MEF)

Abstract

This paper investigates the underlying sources of the Italian industrial sector fluctuations. It concentrates in particular on the role of different shocks on the manufacturing business cycle. To this end, it considers both domestic shocks (to hours worked and to technology) and external shocks (i.e. competitiveness and world trade shocks). The former concern internal conditions such as labour market and productivity dynamics; the latter relate to the effects of economic integration, globalization and the world economy scenario on the manufacturing sector performance. The findings show that although the cyclical fluctuations are mainly determined by productivity shock, hours worked and world trade shocks also contribute significantly to explaining the manufacturing business cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Tatiana Cesaroni, 2008. "Economic integration and industrial sector fluctuations: evidence from Italy," ISAE Working Papers 106, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY).
    • Handle: RePEc:isa:wpaper:106
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    Cited by:

    1. Roberta De Santis & Tatiana Cesaroni, 2016. "Current Account ‘Core–Periphery Dualism’ in the EMU," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(10), pages 1514-1538, October.
    2. Cesaroni, Tatiana & De Santis, Roberta, 2015. "Current Account �Core-Periphery Dualism� in the EMU," CEPS Papers 10317, Centre for European Policy Studies.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business cycle; Italian Industry performance; SVAR model; Economic integration; World trade;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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