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Climate change, temperature extremes, and conflict: Evidence from mainland Southeast Asia

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  • André Tashi Gasser
  • Bruno Lanz

Abstract

We exploit 0.5x0.5 degree raster data for mainland Southeast Asia from 2010 to 2020 to document a non-linear relationship between extreme temperature days and conflict. We show that the occurrence of conflict events increases with extreme maximum temperature days, whereas days with extreme minimum temperature decrease the occurrence of conflict. Because climate change makes both maximum and minimum temperature extremes more likely, these effects partially offset each other on aggregate. However, our results further suggest that the impact of extreme maximum and minimum temperature days differs for the type of conflict, actors involved and population affected, indicating complex distributional consequences.

Suggested Citation

  • André Tashi Gasser & Bruno Lanz, 2023. "Climate change, temperature extremes, and conflict: Evidence from mainland Southeast Asia," IRENE Working Papers 23-05, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:irn:wpaper:23-05
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; adaptation; conflict; extreme temperature;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War
    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • P48 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Other Economic Systems - - - Legal Institutions; Property Rights; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Regional Studies

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