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Querverteilung und Spitzeneinkommen in Deutschland

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  • Kai Daniel Schmid
  • Andreas Peichl
  • Moritz Drechsel-Grau

Abstract

Neuere Studien zur Einkommensverteilung in Deutschland verdeutlichen, dass die Untererfassung von Spitzeneinkommen in den zumeist verwendeten Umfragedaten zu erheblichen Fehleinschätzungen über die Entwicklung der Ungleichheit führt. Eine realitätsnahe Berücksichtigung von Spitzeneinkommen anhand von administrativen Steuerdaten ermöglicht eine höhere Abdeckung von Kapitaleinkommen in der Verteilungsmessung. Zudem bilden Spitzeneinkommen aus administrativen Steuerdaten ein wichtiges Bindeglied zwischen Konjunktur und Einkommensverteilung in Deutschland. Entsprechende Auswertungen legen nahe, dass die vermeintliche Trendwende der Ungleichheitsentwicklung Mitte der 2000er Jahre ein datensatzspezifisches Artefakt ist. Am aktuellen Rand ist vermutlich mit einer weiter steigenden Einkommensungleichheit zu rechnen. Um zukünftig bessere Aussagen über die Ungleichheitsentwicklung treffen zu können, ist eine Verbesserung der Datengrundlagen bzw. des Datenzugangs, wie eine Verknüpfung der administrativen Steuerdaten des Taxpayer-Panels (TPP) mit Daten des Mikrozensus oder der Bundesagentur für Arbeit, wünschenswert.

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  • Kai Daniel Schmid & Andreas Peichl & Moritz Drechsel-Grau, 2015. "Querverteilung und Spitzeneinkommen in Deutschland," IMK Report 108-2015, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:imk:report:108-2015
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    1. Stefan Bach & Martin Beznoska & Andreas Thiemann, 2016. "Aufkommens- und Verteilungswirkungen einer Wiedererhebung der Vermögensteuer in Deutschland: Endbericht; Forschungsprojekt im Auftrag der Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung," DIW Berlin: Politikberatung kompakt, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 108, number pbk108.
    2. Bofinger, Peter & Schnabel, Isabel & Feld, Lars P. & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Wieland, Volker, 2015. "Zukunftsfähigkeit in den Mittelpunkt. Jahresgutachten 2015/16 [Focus on Future Viability. Annual Report 2015/16]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201516.

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