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The Effectiveness of Borrower-Based Macroprudential Measures: A Quantitative Analysis for Slovakia

Author

Listed:
  • Pavol Jurca
  • Ján Klacso
  • Eugen Tereanu
  • Marco Forletta
  • Mr. Marco Gross

Abstract

We develop a semi-structural quantitative framework that combines micro and macroeconomic data to assess the effectiveness of combinations of borrower-based macroprudential measures in Slovakia. We expand on the integrated dynamic household balance sheet model of Gross and Población (2017) by introducing an endogenous loan granting feature, in turn to quantify the potential (ex-ante) impact of macroprudential measures on resilience parameters, compared with a counterfactual no-policy scenario, under adverse macroeconomic conditions. We conclude that (1) borrower-based measures can noticeably improve household and bank resilience to macroeconomic downturns, in particular when multiple measures are applied; (2) those measures tend to complement each other, as the impact of individual instruments is transmitted via different channels; and (3) the resilience benefits are more sizeable if the measures effectively limit the accumulation of risks before an economic downturn occurs, suggesting that an early, preemptive implementation of borrower-based measures is indeed warranted.

Suggested Citation

  • Pavol Jurca & Ján Klacso & Eugen Tereanu & Marco Forletta & Mr. Marco Gross, 2020. "The Effectiveness of Borrower-Based Macroprudential Measures: A Quantitative Analysis for Slovakia," IMF Working Papers 2020/134, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2020/134
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Andrej Cupák & Ján Klacso & Martin Suster, 2020. "Surveying the Impact of the Covid-19 Recession on the Financial Situation of Indebted Households," Working and Discussion Papers WP 6/2020, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    2. Lukáš Fiala & Petr Teplý, 2021. "The Use of Borrower-based Measures within Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from the European Economic Area," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2021(1), pages 71-91.
    3. Martin Cesnak & Jan Klacso & Roman Vasil, 2021. "Analysis of the Impact of Borrower-Based Measures," Working and Discussion Papers OP 3/2021, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    4. Simona Malovana & Martin Hodula & Zuzana Gric & Josef Bajzik, 2022. "Borrower-Based Macroprudential Measures and Credit Growth: How Biased is the Existing Literature?," Working Papers 2022/8, Czech National Bank.
    5. Katja Neugebauer, 2021. "Assessing the effectiveness of the Portuguese borrower-based measure in the Covid-19 context," Working Papers w202110, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    6. Giannoulakis, Stelios & Forletta, Marco & Gross, Marco & Tereanu, Eugen, 2023. "The effectiveness of borrower-based macroprudential policies: a cross-country analysis using an integrated micro-macro simulation model," Working Paper Series 2795, European Central Bank.
    7. Jozef Kalman & Jan Klacso & Roman Vasil & Juraj Zeman, 2023. "What's the Cost of "Saving the Planet" for Banks? Assessing the Indirect Impact of Climate Transition Risks on Slovak Banks' Loan Portfolios," Working and Discussion Papers WP 7/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    8. Barasinska, Nataliya & Ludwig, Johannes & Vogel, Edgar, 2021. "The impact of borrower-based instruments on household vulnerability in Germany," Discussion Papers 20/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    9. Jiri Gregor, 2024. "A Stress Test Approach to the Calibration of Borrower-Based Measures: A Case Study of the Czech Republic," Working Papers 2024/2, Czech National Bank.
    10. Marta Gębska, 2021. "Implications for Economic Security of the Three Seas Initiative Countries Resulting from Membership in the International Monetary Fund," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 444-460.
    11. Abreu, Daniel & Félix, Sónia & Oliveira, Vitor & Silva, Fátima, 2024. "The impact of a macroprudential borrower-based measure on households’ leverage and housing choices," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    12. Sónia Félix & Daniel Abreu, 2021. "The impact of a macroprudential borrower based measure on households’ leverage and housing choices," Working Papers w202116, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    13. Jan Klacso & Eva Stulrajterova, 2021. "Determinants of labour market flows in Slovakia," Working and Discussion Papers WP 5/2021, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    14. Ampudia, Miguel & Lo Duca, Marco & Farkas, Mátyás & Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Pirovano, Mara & Rünstler, Gerhard & Tereanu, Eugen, 2021. "Avoiding a financial epidemic – The role of macroprudential policies," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 87.

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