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House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions

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  • Mr. Adrian Alter
  • Jane Dokko
  • Dulani Seneviratne

Abstract

We examine the relationship between house price synchronicity and global financial conditions across 40 countries and about 70 cities over the past three decades. The role played by cross-border banking flows in residential property markets is examined as well. Looser global financial conditions are associated with greater house price synchronicity, even after controlling for bilateral financial integration. Moreover, we find that synchronicity across major cities may differ from that of their respective countries’, perhaps due to the influence of global investors on local house price dynamics. Policy choices such as macroprudential tools and exchange rate flexibility appear to be relevant for mitigating the sensitivity of domestic housing markets to the rest of the world.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Adrian Alter & Jane Dokko & Dulani Seneviratne, 2018. "House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions," IMF Working Papers 2018/250, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2018/250
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    Cited by:

    1. Torsten Ehlers & Mathias Hoffmann & Alexander Raabe, 2020. "Non-US global banks and dollar (co-)dependence: how housing markets became internationally synchronized," BIS Working Papers 897, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Maria Chiara Cavalleri & Boris Cournède & Volker Ziemann, 2019. "Housing markets and macroeconomic risks," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1555, OECD Publishing.
    3. Bhatt, Vipul & Kishor, N. Kundan, 2021. "(A)Synchronous Housing Markets of Global Cities," MPRA Paper 107175, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Gregory W. Fuller, 2021. "The financialization of rented homes: continuity and change in housing financialization," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 551-570, December.
    5. Agnieszka Gehringer & Jörg König, 2021. "Recent Patterns of Economic Alignment in the European (Monetary) Union," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-23, August.
    6. Cheng, Ruijie & Rajan, Ramkishen S., 2022. "House price decoupling in East Asia and the Pacific: Trilemma versus dilemma revisited," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 518-539.
    7. Mr. Adrian Alter & Elizabeth M. Mahoney, 2020. "Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries," IMF Working Papers 2020/042, International Monetary Fund.

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