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Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the Euro Area and the United States

Author

Listed:
  • Ali Alichi
  • Olivier Bizimana
  • Silvia Domit
  • Emilio Fernández Corugedo
  • Mr. Douglas Laxton
  • Kadir Tanyeri
  • Hou Wang
  • Fan Zhang

Abstract

The estimates of potential output and the output gap presented in this paper are not official IMF estimates. The programs and potential output estimates in this paper can be downloaded from www.douglaslaxton.org.The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of the IMF or IMF policy. The authors would like to thank the European Department of the IMF for helpful comments. All errors and omissions are our own.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali Alichi & Olivier Bizimana & Silvia Domit & Emilio Fernández Corugedo & Mr. Douglas Laxton & Kadir Tanyeri & Hou Wang & Fan Zhang, 2015. "Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the Euro Area and the United States," IMF Working Papers 2015/253, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2015/253
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    13. Mr. Pau Rabanal & Marzie Taheri Sanjani, 2015. "Financial Factors: Implications for Output Gaps," IMF Working Papers 2015/153, International Monetary Fund.
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    2. Mihnea Constantinescu & Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen, 2017. "Unemployment or Credit: Who Holds The Potential? Results From a Small-Open Economy," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 4, Bank of Lithuania.
    3. Brand, Claus & Obstbaum, Meri & Coenen, Günter & Sondermann, David & Lydon, Reamonn & Ajevskis, Viktors & Hammermann, Felix & Angino, Siria & Hernborg, Nils & Basso, Henrique & Hertweck, Matthias & Bi, 2021. "Employment and the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 275, European Central Bank.
    4. Hayk Karapetyan, 2019. "Estimating Potential Output at the Central Bank of Armenia," Working Papers 12, Central Bank of the Republic of Armenia.
    5. Mr. Niels-Jakob H Hansen & Mr. Joannes Mongardini & Fan Zhang, 2019. "Labor Market Slack and the Output Gap: The Case of Korea," IMF Working Papers 2019/167, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Lovorka Grguric & Ozana Nadoveza Jelic & Nina Pavic, 2021. "The interplay of supply and demand shocks: measuring potential output in the COVID-19 pandemic," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 45(4), pages 459-493.
    7. Constantinescu, Mihnea & Nguyen, Anh D.M., 2018. "Unemployment or credit: Which one holds the potential? Results for a small open economy with a low degree of financialization," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 649-664.
    8. Hang Pham, 2020. "Estimating the Output Gap for Emerging Countries: Evidence from Five Southeast Asia Countries," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 7(2), pages 61-73.
    9. Mr. Geoffrey J Bannister & Mr. Harald Finger & Siddharth Kothari & Ms. Elena Loukoianova, 2020. "Addressing the Pandemic's Medium-Term Fallout in Australia and New Zealand," IMF Working Papers 2020/272, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Sharma, Saurabh & Behera, Harendra, 2022. "A dissection of Indian growth using a DSGE filter," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    11. Ali Alichi & Rania A. Al-Mashat & Hayk Avetisyan & Mr. Jaromir Benes & Olivier Bizimana & Aram Butavyan & Mr. Robert Ford & Narek Ghazaryan & Vahagn Grigoryan & Mane Harutyunyan & Anahit Hovhannisyan , 2018. "Estimates of Potential Output and the Neutral Rate for the U.S. Economy," IMF Working Papers 2018/152, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Ferdinandusse, Marien & Checherita-Westphal, Cristina & Attinasi, Maria Grazia & Lalouette, Laure & Bańkowski, Krzysztof & Palaiodimos, Georgios & Trindade Campos, Maria Manuel, 2017. "Euro area fiscal stance," Occasional Paper Series 182, European Central Bank.
    13. Ms. Edda Zoli & Hou Wang & Mr. Douglas Laxton, 2018. "A New Strategy for Korea’s Fiscal Policy in a Low Growth Environment," IMF Working Papers 2018/091, International Monetary Fund.

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