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How Solid Is Economic Growth in the East African Community?

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  • Mr. Nikoloz Gigineishvili
  • Mr. Paolo Mauro
  • Ke Wang

Abstract

Is rapid economic growth experienced by the East African Community during the past decade built on solid foundations? To gain some clues, we use a variety of newly-collected and existing data sources to analyze the structural transformation of output and exports, as well as indicators of their quality and sophistication. The move from agriculture to a wide range of other sectors—bodes well for continued growth, as do gradual improvements in quality. Yet, no clear winners on the production side seem to have emerged, to embed a durable comparative advantage in international markets. These observations may instill a note of caution against projecting rapid growth into the distant future.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Nikoloz Gigineishvili & Mr. Paolo Mauro & Ke Wang, 2014. "How Solid Is Economic Growth in the East African Community?," IMF Working Papers 2014/150, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2014/150
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Easterly William R., 2001. "Growth Implosions and Debt Explosions: Do Growth Slowdowns Cause Public Debt Crises?," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 1(1), pages 1-26, February.
    4. Ms. Catherine McAuliffe & Ms. Sweta Chaman Saxena & Mr. Masafumi Yabara, 2012. "The East African Community: Prospects for Sustained Growth," IMF Working Papers 2012/272, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Giang Ho & Paolo Mauro, 2016. "Growth—Now and Forever?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 64(3), pages 526-547, August.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Alice Nicole Sindzingre, 2016. "From an Eroding Model to Questioned Trade Relationships: The European Union and Sub-Saharan Africa," Insight on Africa, , vol. 8(2), pages 81-95, July.

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