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Fiscal Multipliers in the ECCU

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  • Mr. Jesus R Gonzalez-Garcia
  • Mr. Antonio Lemus
  • Mr. Mico Mrkaic

Abstract

The multipliers of taxes, and government consumption and investment expenditure for the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) are estimated using vector autoregression models with panel data. The impact and long-run multipliers are below unity, suggesting that a great extent of the intended impulse ends up expanding imported demand. The long-run multipliers of taxes and consumption expenditure are non-different from zero statistically, while public investment has a long-run multiplier of 0.6. The results suggest that countercyclical policies to stimulate growth should focus on public investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Jesus R Gonzalez-Garcia & Mr. Antonio Lemus & Mr. Mico Mrkaic, 2013. "Fiscal Multipliers in the ECCU," IMF Working Papers 2013/117, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2013/117
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Zdeněk Pikhart, 2019. "Fiskální impuls a pokrizový odhad fiskálních multiplikátorů v české republice [Fiscal Impulse and Post-crisis Estimate of Fiscal Multipliers in the Czech Republic]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(6), pages 577-592.
    3. Mr. Alejandro Izquierdo & Mr. Ruy Lama & Juan Pablo Medina & Jorge Puig & Daniel Riera-Crichton & Mr. Carlos A. Végh Gramont & Guillermo Javier Vuletin, 2019. "Is the Public Investment Multiplier Higher in Developing Countries? An Empirical Exploration," IMF Working Papers 2019/289, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Voinescu Ioan-Vlad, 2018. "Fiscal multipliers in Romania," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 10(1), pages 026-046, June.
    5. Beau Soederhuizen & Rutger Teulings & Rob Luginbuhl, 2019. "Estimating the Impact of the Financial Cycle on Fiscal Policy," CPB Discussion Paper 398, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    6. Gunter, Samara & Riera-Crichton, Daniel & Vegh, Carlos A. & Vuletin, Guillermo, 2021. "Non-linear effects of tax changes on output: The role of the initial level of taxation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    7. Francisco Arizala & Jesus Gonzalez-Garcia & Charalambos G. Tsangarides & Mustafa Yenice, 2021. "The impact of fiscal consolidations on growth in sub-Saharan Africa," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 1-33, July.
    8. Nizam Ahmed Mehedi, 2021. "On The Contribution of Interest Expense (Income) on Total Output," Open Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 31-56, January.
    9. -, 2020. "Panorama Fiscal de América Latina y el Caribe, 2020: la política fiscal ante la crisis derivada de la pandemia de la enfermedad por coronavirus (COVID-19)," Libros y Documentos Institucionales, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 45730 edited by Cepal.
    10. Nizam, Ahmed Mehedi, 2021. "Redistribution of wealth through cross border financial transactions: A closer look," MPRA Paper 109374, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Milan Deskar Škrbić & Hrvoje Šimović, 2015. "The size and determinants of fiscal multipliers in Western Balkans: comparing Croatia, Slovenia and Serbia," EFZG Working Papers Series 1510, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
    12. Nicoletta Batini & Mr. Luc Eyraud & Miss Anke Weber, 2014. "A Simple Method to Compute Fiscal Multipliers," IMF Working Papers 2014/093, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Direye, Eli, 2017. "An empirical study on the dynamic effects of fiscal shock on the economy of Papua New Guinea," MPRA Paper 113917, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. El Mostafa Bentour, 2023. "On the government consumption multipliers evolvement over time: an SVAR analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(12), pages 1612-1617, July.
    15. Nizam, Ahmed Mehedi, 2020. "Some Amendments to the Algebraic Representation and Empirical Estimation of the Fiscal Multipliers," MPRA Paper 104346, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Nizam, Ahmed Mehedi, 2021. "Effect of Government Transfer on Money Supply: A Closer Look into the Interaction Between Monetary and Fiscal Policy," MPRA Paper 109394, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Antonio David & Mr. Daniel Leigh, 2018. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation in Emerging Economies: Evidence from Latin America," IMF Working Papers 2018/142, International Monetary Fund.

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