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Credit Growth and Bank Soundness: Fast and Furious?

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  • Ms. Deniz O Igan
  • Marcelo Pinheiro

Abstract

We examine the risks to bank soundness associated with credit booms in a large set of countries. Using bank-level data in 90 countries between 1995 and 2005, we analyze the relationship between credit growth and bank soundness taking into account the potential two-way causality. We find that, while sounder banks tend to grow faster at moderate-growth periods, credit growth becomes less dependent on soundness during booms. These findings shed some light on why credit booms are often associated with financial crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Deniz O Igan & Marcelo Pinheiro, 2011. "Credit Growth and Bank Soundness: Fast and Furious?," IMF Working Papers 2011/278, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2011/278
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    Cited by:

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    2. Neelam Timsina, 2016. "Determinants of Bank Lending in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 28(2), pages 19-42, October.
    3. Fenech, Jean-Pierre & Yap, Ying Kai & Shafik, Salwa, 2014. "Can the Chinese banking system continue to grow without sacrificing loan quality?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 315-330.
    4. Natalie Tiernan & Pedro Gete, 2014. "Overlending and Macroprudential Tools," 2014 Meeting Papers 379, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Aparicio, Juan & Duran, Miguel A. & Lozano-Vivas, Ana & Pastor, Jesus T., 2018. "Are charter value and supervision aligned? A segmentation analysis," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 60-73.
    6. Wagner, Charlotte & Winkler, Adalbert, 2013. "The Vulnerability of Microfinance to Financial Turmoil – Evidence from the Global Financial Crisis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 71-90.
    7. Fernandes, Marcelo & Igan, Deniz & Pinheiro, Marcelo, 2020. "March madness in Wall Street: (What) does the market learn from stress tests?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    8. Abuzayed, Bana & Ben Ammar, Mouldi & Molyneux, Philip & Al-Fayoumi, Nedal, 2024. "Corruption, lending and bank performance," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 802-830.
    9. Giovanni Dell’Ariccia & Deniz Igan & Luc Laeven & Hui Tong, 2016. "Credit booms and macrofinancial stability," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 31(86), pages 299-355.
    10. Thaer Alhalabi & Vitor Castro & Justine Wood, 2023. "The relationship between excessive lending, risk premium and risk‐taking: Evidence from European banks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 448-471, January.
    11. Hao Thi Kim Do & Nguyet Thi Minh Nguyen & Trung Hai Le, 2017. "Effects of the Credit Boom on the Soundness of Vietnamese Commercial Banks," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 8(3), pages 57-73, July.
    12. Ali Awdeh, 2017. "The Determinants of Credit Growth in Lebanon," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(2), pages 9-19, February.
    13. Bas B. Bakker & Giovanni Dell'Ariccia & Luc Laeven & Jérôme Vandenbussche & Deniz O Igan & Hui Tong, 2012. "Policies for Macrofinancial Stability; How to Deal with Credit Booms," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 12/06, International Monetary Fund.
    14. Damane, Moeti & Ho, Sin-Yu, 2024. "The impact of financial inclusion on financial stability: review of theories and international evidence," MPRA Paper 120369, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Mehmet Fatih Ekinci & Turalay Kenc & Unay Tamgac Tezcan, 2024. "Effectiveness of Macroprudential Policies on Credit Surge and Stop Episodes," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(5), pages 1085-1113, November.
    16. Al-Khouri, Ritab & Arouri, Houda, 2016. "The simultaneous estimation of credit growth, valuation, and stability of the Gulf Cooperation Council banking industry," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 499-518.
    17. Tanja Markovic-Hribernik & Matej Tomec, 2015. "Bad Bank And Other Possible Banks’ Rescuing Models – The Case Of Slovenia," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 128-141, January.
    18. Mugabil Isayev, 2024. "Unraveling the interplay of financial inclusion, stability, and shadow banking in emerging markets," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-17, April.

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