IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/ecopln/v57y2024i2d10.1007_s10644-024-09657-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Unraveling the interplay of financial inclusion, stability, and shadow banking in emerging markets

Author

Listed:
  • Mugabil Isayev

    (ADA University)

Abstract

This paper fills the momentous gap by explicitly investigating the interplay of financial inclusion, financial stability, and shadow banking in 11 emerging market economies (EMEs) from 2010 to 2021. Employing panel quantile regression approaches, including simultaneous bootstrapped quantile regression and generalized quantile regression, the results indicate that while financial inclusion has a negative impact on financial stability, its impact is less pronounced in countries with high stability. Moreover, shadow banking, whether broadly or narrowly defined, tends to weaken the negative effects of financial inclusion, particularly in EMEs with medium and high levels of financial stability. Finally, Dumitrescu–Hurlin's panel causality test confirms bidirectional causality between financial stability and financial inclusion, financial stability and shadow banking, as well as financial inclusion and shadow banking. These findings highlight the need for policymakers in EMEs to prudently adjust shadow banking regulations to maximize their positive impact on financial inclusion and stability while concurrently minimizing potential risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Mugabil Isayev, 2024. "Unraveling the interplay of financial inclusion, stability, and shadow banking in emerging markets," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-17, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:ecopln:v:57:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s10644-024-09657-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09657-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10644-024-09657-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10644-024-09657-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Constantin-Marius Apostoaie & Irina Bilan, 2020. "Macro determinants of shadow banking in Central and Eastern European countries," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 1146-1171, January.
    2. Mallika Saha & Kumar Debasis Dutta, 2022. "Does governance quality matter in the nexus of inclusive finance and stability?," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(1), pages 121-139, January.
    3. Alfred Hannig & Stefan Jansen, 2010. "Financial Inclusion and Financial Stability : Current Policy Issues," Finance Working Papers 23124, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    4. Ms. Deniz O Igan & Marcelo Pinheiro, 2011. "Credit Growth and Bank Soundness: Fast and Furious?," IMF Working Papers 2011/278, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Lambert, Claudia & Noth, Felix & Schüwer, Ulrich, 2017. "How do insured deposits affect bank risk? Evidence from the 2008 Emergency Economic Stabilization Act," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 81-102.
    6. Peter J. Morgan & Victor Pontines, 2014. "Financial Stability and Financial Inclusion," Microeconomics Working Papers 24278, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    7. Dumitrescu, Elena-Ivona & Hurlin, Christophe, 2012. "Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1450-1460.
    8. Hodula, Martin & Melecky, Ales & Machacek, Martin, 2020. "Off the radar: Factors behind the growth of shadow banking in Europe," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(3).
    9. Mello, Marcelo & Perrelli, Roberto, 2003. "Growth equations: a quantile regression exploration," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(4), pages 643-667.
    10. William Robert Reed, 2015. "On the Practice of Lagging Variables to Avoid Simultaneity," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(6), pages 897-905, December.
    11. Ratna Sahay & Martin Cihak & Papa M N'Diaye & Adolfo Barajas & Srobona Mitra & Annette J Kyobe & Yen N Mooi & Seyed Reza Yousefi, 2015. "Financial Inclusion; Can it Meet Multiple Macroeconomic Goals?," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 15/17, International Monetary Fund.
    12. John C. Driscoll & Aart C. Kraay, 1998. "Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation With Spatially Dependent Panel Data," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 80(4), pages 549-560, November.
    13. Minhaj Ali & Shujahat H. Hashmi & Muhammad R. Nazir & Ahmer Bilal & Muhammad I. Nazir, 2021. "Does financial inclusion enhance economic growth? Empirical evidence from the IsDB member countries," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5235-5258, October.
    14. Uhde, André & Heimeshoff, Ulrich, 2009. "Consolidation in banking and financial stability in Europe: Empirical evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(7), pages 1299-1311, July.
    15. Anh The Vo & Loan Thi-Hong Van & Duc Hong Vo & Michael Mcaleer, 2019. "Financial Inclusion And Macroeconomic Stability In Emerging And Frontier Markets," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(02), pages 1-15, June.
    16. David Powell, 2020. "Quantile Treatment Effects in the Presence of Covariates," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(5), pages 994-1005, December.
    17. Mugabil Isayev & Eralp Bektas, 2023. "The nexus between commercial bank lending and shadow banking assets: do bank risks and profitability moderate? Evidence from emerging markets," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(9), pages 1162-1167, May.
    18. Mallika Saha & Kumar Debasis Dutta, 2022. "Does governance quality matter in the nexus of inclusive finance and stability?," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(1), pages 121-139, January.
    19. Hannig, Alfred & Jansen, Stefan, 2010. "Financial Inclusion and Financial Stability: Current Policy Issues," ADBI Working Papers 259, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    20. Ms. Ratna Sahay & Mr. Martin Cihak & Mr. Papa M N'Diaye & Mr. Adolfo Barajas & Ms. Srobona Mitra & Ms. Annette J Kyobe & Yen N Mooi & Mr. Seyed Reza Yousefi, 2015. "Financial Inclusion: Can it Meet Multiple Macroeconomic Goals?," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2015/017, International Monetary Fund.
    21. Trung Duc Nguyen & Quynh Lan Thi Du, 2022. "The effect of financial inclusion on bank stability: Evidence from ASEAN," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 2040126-204, December.
    22. Koenker, Roger W & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1978. "Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 33-50, January.
    23. Brambor, Thomas & Clark, William Roberts & Golder, Matt, 2006. "Understanding Interaction Models: Improving Empirical Analyses," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(1), pages 63-82, January.
    24. Dao Ha & Yen Nguyen, 2023. "Institutional quality’s influence on financial inclusion’ impact on bank stability," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 2190212-219, December.
    25. Koenker, Roger & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1982. "Robust Tests for Heteroscedasticity Based on Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(1), pages 43-61, January.
    26. Victor Chernozhukov & Christian Hansen, 2005. "An IV Model of Quantile Treatment Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 73(1), pages 245-261, January.
    27. Fratzscher, Marcel & König, Philipp Johann & Lambert, Claudia, 2016. "Credit provision and banking stability after the Great Financial Crisis: The role of bank regulation and the quality of governance," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 113-135.
    28. Feghali, Khalil & Mora, Nada & Nassif, Pamela, 2021. "Financial inclusion, bank market structure, and financial stability: International evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 236-257.
    29. Ahamed, M. Mostak & Mallick, Sushanta K., 2019. "Is financial inclusion good for bank stability? International evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 403-427.
    30. Ozili, Peterson K, 2021. "Has financial inclusion made the financial sector riskier?," MPRA Paper 105529, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    31. David Powell, 2022. "Quantile regression with nonadditive fixed effects," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(5), pages 2675-2691, November.
    32. Acharya, Viral V. & Khandwala, Hemal & Sabri Öncü, T., 2013. "The growth of a shadow banking system in emerging markets: Evidence from India," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 207-230.
    33. Arora, Dhulika & Kashiramka, Smita, 2023. "What drives the growth of shadow banks? Evidence from emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    34. Christopher L. Culp & Andrea M. P. Neves, 2017. "Shadow Banking, Risk Transfer, and Financial Stability," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 29(4), pages 45-64, December.
    35. Wang, Wencheng & Ning, Zinan & Shu, Yang & Riti, Miriam-Kamah J. & Riti, Joshua Sunday, 2023. "ICT interaction with trade, FDI and financial inclusion on inclusive growth in top African nations ranked by ICT development," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(4).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Damane, Moeti & Ho, Sin-Yu, 2024. "Effects of Financial Inclusion of Small and medium Sized Enterprises on Financial Stability: Evidence from SSA countries," MPRA Paper 121093, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Banna, Hasanul & Kabir Hassan, M. & Rashid, Mamunur, 2021. "Fintech-based financial inclusion and bank risk-taking: Evidence from OIC countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    2. Damane, Moeti & Ho, Sin-Yu, 2024. "The impact of financial inclusion on financial stability: review of theories and international evidence," MPRA Paper 120369, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Damane, Moeti & Ho, Sin-Yu, 2024. "Effects of financial inclusion on financial stability: evidence from ssa countries," MPRA Paper 120238, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Wang, Rui & Luo, Hang (Robin), 2022. "How does financial inclusion affect bank stability in emerging economies?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(PA).
    5. Isaac Ofoeda & John Kwaku Mensah Mawutor & Dilys Nana Fosu-Hemaa Ohenebeng, 2024. "Financial inclusion, institutional quality and bank stability: evidence from sub-Saharan Africa," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 27-64, February.
    6. Feghali, Khalil & Mora, Nada & Nassif, Pamela, 2021. "Financial inclusion, bank market structure, and financial stability: International evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 236-257.
    7. López, Tania & Winkler, Adalbert, 2019. "Does financial inclusion mitigate credit boom-bust cycles?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 116-129.
    8. Nicole Jonker & Anneke Kosse, 2020. "The Interplay of Financial Education, Financial Literacy, Financial Inclusion and Financial Stability: Any Lessons for the Current Big Tech Era?," Staff Working Papers 20-32, Bank of Canada.
    9. Loan Thi-Hong Van & Anh The Vo & Nhan Thien Nguyen & Duc Hong Vo, 2021. "Financial Inclusion and Economic GROWTH: An International Evidence," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(1), pages 239-263, January.
    10. Ozili, Peterson K, 2020. "Financial inclusion research around the world: a review," MPRA Paper 101809, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Shruti Malik & Girish Chandra Maheshwari & Archana Singh, 2019. "Understanding Financial Inclusion in India: A Theoretical Framework Building Through SAP–LAP and Efficient IRP," Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, Springer;Global Institute of Flexible Systems Management, vol. 20(2), pages 117-140, June.
    12. Singh, Vinay Kumar & Ghosh, Sajal, 2021. "Financial inclusion and economic growth in India amid demonetization: A case study based on panel cointegration and causality," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 674-693.
    13. Alicia Girón & Amirreza Kazemikhasragh & Antonella Francesca Cicchiello & Eva Panetti, 2022. "Financial Inclusion Measurement in the Least Developed Countries in Asia and Africa," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(2), pages 1198-1211, June.
    14. Kouladoum, Jean-Claude & Wirajing, Muhamadu Awal Kindzeka & Nchofoung, Tii N., 2022. "Digital technologies and financial inclusion in Sub-Saharan Africa," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(9).
    15. Anh The Vo & Loan Thi-Hong Van & Duc Hong Vo & Michael Mcaleer, 2019. "Financial Inclusion And Macroeconomic Stability In Emerging And Frontier Markets," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(02), pages 1-15, June.
    16. Mais Sha'ban & Claudia Girardone & Anna Sarkisyan & Thankom Arun, 2023. "On the relationship between financial inclusion and bank performance," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 52(3), November.
    17. Ozili, Peterson Kitakogelu & Adamu, Ahmed, 2021. "Does financial inclusion reduce non-performing loans and loan loss provisions?," MPRA Paper 109321, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Aluko, Olufemi Adewale & Opoku, Eric Evans Osei, 2022. "The financial development impact of financial globalization revisited: A focus on OECD countries," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 13-29.
    19. Marcelin, I. & Sun, W. & Teclezion, M. & Junarsin, E., 2022. "Financial inclusion and bank risk-taking: the effect of information sharing," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    20. Mbiankeu Nguea, Stéphane & Hervé Kaffo Fotio,, 2024. "Synthesizing the role of biomass energy consumption and human development in achieving environmental sustainability," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Inclusion; Financial Stability; Shadow Banking; Quantile Regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G00 - Financial Economics - - General - - - General
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:ecopln:v:57:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s10644-024-09657-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.