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The Linkage between the Oil and Non-oil Sectors: A Panel VAR Approach

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  • Nir Klein

Abstract

Recent empirical studies have shown an inverse relation between natural resource intensity and long-term growth, implying that the natural resources generally impede economic growth through various channels (the “natural resource curse”). This paper departs from these studies by exploring the intersectoral linkages between oil and non-oil sectors in a cross-country perspective. The paper shows that the applicability of “natural resource curse” across oilbased economies should be treated with caution as the externalities of the oil sector highly depend on the countries’ degree of oil-intensity. In particular, the results show that, in low oil-intensity economies, the incentives to strengthen both fiscal and private sector institutions lead to positive inter-sectoral externalities. In contrast, weaker incentives in high oil-intensity economies adversely affect fiscal and private sector institutions and consequently lead to negative inter-sectoral externalities.

Suggested Citation

  • Nir Klein, 2010. "The Linkage between the Oil and Non-oil Sectors: A Panel VAR Approach," IMF Working Papers 2010/118, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2010/118
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. International Monetary Fund, 2011. "Republic of Kazakhstan: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2011/151, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Carlos Gustavo Cano, 2010. "Regla fiscal y estabilidad macroeconómica en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 607, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    5. Jos Alberto Fuinhas & Ant nio Cardoso Marques & Alcino Pinto Couto, 2015. "Oil-Growth Nexus in Oil Producing Countries: Macro Panel Evidence," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(1), pages 148-163.
    6. Adolfo Barajas & Ralph Chami & Seyed Reza Yousefi, 2016. "The Finance and Growth Nexus Re-Examined: Do All Countries Benefit Equally?," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 1(5), pages 5-38, June.
    7. Gideon Minua Kwaku Ampofo & Prosper Basommi Laari & Emmanuel Opoku Ware & Williams Shaw, 2023. "Further investigation of the total natural resource rents and economic growth nexus in resource-abundant sub-Saharan African countries," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 36(1), pages 97-121, January.
    8. Ossowski, Rolando & Gonzáles-Castillo, Alberto, 2012. "Manna from Heaven: The Impact of Nonrenewable Resource Revenues on Other Revenues of Resource Exporters in Latin America and the Caribbean," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 4045, Inter-American Development Bank.
    9. Titus Isaiah Zayone & Shida Rastegari Henneberry & Riza Radmehr, 2020. "Effects of Agricultural, Manufacturing, and Mineral Exports on Angola’s Economic Growth," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-17, March.
    10. José Fuinhas & António Marques & Alcino Couto, 2015. "Oil rents and economic growth in oil producing countries: evidence from a macro panel," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 257-279, November.

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