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Inflation Pressures and Monetary Policy Options in Emerging and Developing Countries—A Cross Regional Perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Ms. Inci Ötker
  • David Vávra
  • Mr. Francisco F. Vazquez
  • Mr. Luis Ignacio Jácome
  • Mr. Karl F Habermeier
  • Kotaro Ishi
  • Alessandro Giustiniani
  • Turgut Kisinbay

Abstract

This paper analyzes the monetary policy response to rising inflation in emerging and developing countries associated with the food and oil price shocks in 2007 and the first half of 2008. It reviews inflation developments in a sample of countries covering all regions and a broad range of monetary and exchange rate policy regimes; discusses the underlying causes of inflation; provides a synthesis of policy responses taken against the background of the conflicting objectives and trade-offs, the uncertainties regarding the nature of the shocks, and the additional challenges brought on by the global financial turmoil; and presents considerations for policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Inci Ötker & David Vávra & Mr. Francisco F. Vazquez & Mr. Luis Ignacio Jácome & Mr. Karl F Habermeier & Kotaro Ishi & Alessandro Giustiniani & Turgut Kisinbay, 2009. "Inflation Pressures and Monetary Policy Options in Emerging and Developing Countries—A Cross Regional Perspective," IMF Working Papers 2009/001, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2009/001
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. de Carvalho Filho Irineu E, 2011. "28 Months Later: How Inflation Targeters Outperformed Their Peers in the Great Recession," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(1), pages 1-46, July.
    2. Siddig, Khalid & Grethe, Harald, 2014. "International price transmission in CGE models: How to reconcile econometric evidence and endogenous model response?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 12-22.
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2010. "Commodity Prices and Inflation in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia," IMF Working Papers 2010/135, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Pourroy, Marc, 2012. "Does exchange rate control improve inflation targeting in emerging economies?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 116(3), pages 448-450.
    5. López-Villavicencio, Antonia & Pourroy, Marc, 2019. "Inflation target and (a)symmetries in the oil price pass-through to inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 860-875.
    6. Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide & Loungani, Prakash & Mishra, Saurabh & Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos, 2018. "Oil prices and inflation dynamics: Evidence from advanced and developing economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 71-96.
    7. Grégory Levieuge & Yannick Lucotte & Sébastien Ringuedé, 2018. "Central bank credibility and the expectations channel: evidence based on a new credibility index," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 154(3), pages 493-535, August.
    8. Nir Klein, 2012. "Estimating the Implicit Inflation Target of the South African Reserve Bank," IMF Working Papers 2012/177, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Alqaralleh, Huthaifa Sameeh & Canepa, Alessandra, 2024. "Modelling Dynamic Relationships Between Energy Prices and Inflation in Euro Area Using Wavelets," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202420, University of Turin.
    10. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Cunado, Juncal & Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser & Gupta, Rangan, 2019. "Oil price-inflation pass-through in the United States over 1871 to 2018: A wavelet coherency analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 51-55.
    11. repec:zbw:bofitp:2011_009 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Berganza, Juan Carlos & Broto, Carmen, 2012. "Flexible inflation targets, forex interventions and exchange rate volatility in emerging countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 428-444.
    13. Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Deb, Pragyan & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel & Ostry, Jonathan D., 2023. "Shipping costs and inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    14. Aissa Djedaiet & Hicham Ayad, "undated". "The double whammy of COVID-19 and oil price collapse: Spillover effects on inflation and exchange rates," Review of Socio - Economic Perspectives 202206, Reviewsep.
    15. Stephen A. O'Connell, 2011. "Towards a Rule-based Approach to Monetary Policy Evaluation in Sub-Saharan Africa-super- †," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 20(suppl_2), pages -66, May.
    16. Abdallah, Chadi & Kpodar, Kangni, 2023. "How large and persistent is the response of inflation to changes in retail energy prices?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    17. Sheng, Xin & Marfatia, Hardik A. & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "The non-linear response of US state-level tradable and non-tradable inflation to oil shocks: The role of oil-dependence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    18. Mr. Irineu E de Carvalho Filho, 2010. "Inflation Targeting and the Crisis: An Empirical Assessment," IMF Working Papers 2010/045, International Monetary Fund.
    19. Jeetendra Khadan, 2016. "An Econometric Analysis of Energy Revenue and Government Expenditure Shocks on Economic Growth in Trinidad and Tobago," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 97018, Inter-American Development Bank.
    20. Salas, Jorge, 2009. "¿Qué explica las fluctuaciones de la inflación en el Perú en el periodo 2002-2008? Evidencia de un análisis VAR estructural," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 16, pages 9-36.
    21. Gelos, Gaston & Ustyugova, Yulia, 2017. "Inflation responses to commodity price shocks – How and why do countries differ?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 28-47.
    22. International Monetary Fund, 2012. "Global Food Price Inflation and Policy Responses in Central Asia," IMF Working Papers 2012/086, International Monetary Fund.
    23. Berganza, Juan Carlos & Broto, Carmen, 2012. "Flexible inflation targets, forex interventions and exchange rate volatility in emerging countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 428-444.

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