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Central and Eastern Europe: New Member States (NMS) Policy Forum, 2014, Selected Issues Paper

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  • International Monetary Fund

Abstract

This Selected Issues Paper’s objective is to illustrate economic benefits and costs from euro adoption by reviewing the main arguments and empirical evidence in Central and Eastern Europe: New Member States (NMS). The parameters of the euro adoption debate have shifted. Although countries joining the euro area in the 2000s could expect to benefit from a significant country risk premium, this premium has mostly vanished with the euro crisis. The NMS that have maintained exchange rate flexibility and monetary policy autonomy have, in general, made good use of it. During convergence, nominal currency appreciation supported more balanced growth and restrained credit and asset price booms. It is an open question whether the macroeconomic volatility of the past decade will recur. If divergent growth patterns and volatility were to repeat, euro adoption would constrain macro-policy options, especially for economies with large income gaps and asynchronized business cycles vis-à-vis the euro area. Thus, a large burden would be placed on other policy instruments to safeguard balanced growth, notably counter-cyclical fiscal policy and macro-prudential policies. Structural reforms to boost growth potential and facilitate internal adjustment would also be important.

Suggested Citation

  • International Monetary Fund, 2015. "Central and Eastern Europe: New Member States (NMS) Policy Forum, 2014, Selected Issues Paper," IMF Staff Country Reports 2015/098, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfscr:2015/098
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    Cited by:

    1. Gordana Kordic, 2015. "Post-Transition Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies: Dilemmas on Eurozone membership in terms of Global Recession," MIC 2015: Managing Sustainable Growth; Proceedings of the Joint International Conference, Portorož, Slovenia, 28–30 May 2015,, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper.
    2. M. Golovnin YU. & М. Головнин Ю., 2017. "Денежно-Кредитная Политика Стран Центральной И Восточной Европы В Условиях Глобализации: Режимы И Инструменты // The Monetary Policy In Countries Of Central And Eastern Europe In The Globalization Con," Финансы: теория и практика/Finance: Theory and Practice // Finance: Theory and Practice, ФГОБУВО Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 21(1), pages 78-86.

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