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Role of Foreign Direct Investment as a Long-term Capital Flow Channel

Author

Listed:
  • Naohisa Hirakata

    (General Manager, Niigata Branch, Bank of Japan (E-mail: naohisa.hirakata@boj.or.jp))

  • Mitsuru Katagiri

    (Associate Professor, Faculty of Business Administration, Hosei University (E-mail: mitsuru.katagiri@hosei.ac.jp))

Abstract

This paper investigates the role of foreign direct investment (FDI) in accounting for the long-term trend of capital flows under demographic changes. For this purpose, we incorporate horizontal FDI under the proximity-concentration trade-off into a two-country DSGE model and conduct a quantitative analysis using long-term Japanese data for capital flows since the 1960s. The quantitative analysis finds that the transition dynamics solely driven by demographic changes well account for the long-term trend of capital flows and that multinational firms' endogenous decision on FDI in response to population aging is key to explaining the long-term trend.

Suggested Citation

  • Naohisa Hirakata & Mitsuru Katagiri, 2024. "Role of Foreign Direct Investment as a Long-term Capital Flow Channel," IMES Discussion Paper Series 24-E-05, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
  • Handle: RePEc:ime:imedps:24-e-05
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital flows; Demographic changes; Foreign direct investment (FDI);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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