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Dynamic equilibrium correction modelling of yen Eurobond credit spreads

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  • Seppo Pynnönen
  • Warren P. Hogan
  • Jonathan A. Batten

Abstract

Understanding the long term relationship between the yields of risky and riskless bonds is a critical task for portfolio managers and policy makers. This study specifies an equilibrium correction model of the credit spreads between Japanese Government bonds (JGBs) and Japanese yen Eurobonds with high quality credit ratings. The empirical results indicate that the corporate bond yields are cointegrated with the otherwise equivalent JGB yields, with the spread defining the cointegration relation. In addition the results indicate that the equilibrium correction term is highly statistically significant in modelling credit spread changes. Another important factor is the risk-free interest rate with the negative sign, while there is little evidence of the contribution of the asset return to the behaviour of spreads.

Suggested Citation

  • Seppo Pynnönen & Warren P. Hogan & Jonathan A. Batten, 2006. "Dynamic equilibrium correction modelling of yen Eurobond credit spreads," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp127, IIIS.
    • Handle: RePEc:iis:dispap:iiisdp127
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Shinsuke Ohyama & Takuya Sugimoto, 2007. "The determinants of credit spread changes in Japan," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 07-E-4, Bank of Japan.

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