IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/idn/wpaper/wp252008.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Exchange Rate Movements in Indonesia: Determinants, Effects, and Policy Challenges

Author

Listed:
  • Kim Edwards

    (Reserve Bank Of Australia)

  • Sahminan

    (Bank Indonesia)

Abstract

In this paper we provide an overview analysis of the role of the exchange rate in the Indonesian economy. In particular, we have explored three main issues. The first is how the exchange rate is determined in Indonesia, the second is why the exchange rate matters to the Indonesian economy, and the third concerns the policy challenges presented by exchange rate fluctuations in the post-crisis period. We find some evidence to suggest that non-market factors continue to play a role in influencing the exchange rate, although many of the vulnerabilities typically associated with rupiah movements appear to have declined.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim Edwards & Sahminan, 2008. "Exchange Rate Movements in Indonesia: Determinants, Effects, and Policy Challenges," Working Papers WP/25/2008, Bank Indonesia.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:wpaper:wp252008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://publication-bi.org/repec/idn/wpaper/WP252008.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2008
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hernandez, Leonardo & Montiel, Peter J., 2003. "Post-crisis exchange rate policy in five Asian countries: Filling in the "hollow middle"?," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 336-369, September.
    2. Akhis R Hutabarat, 2006. "Comment on: “Monetary policy approaches and implementation in Asia: the Philippines and Indonesia” by Roberto S Mariano and Delano P Villanueva," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy in Asia: approaches and implementation, volume 31, pages 227-231, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Roberto S Mariano Delano & Delano P Villanueva, 2006. "Monetary policy approaches and implementation in Asia: the Philippines and Indonesia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy in Asia: approaches and implementation, volume 31, pages 207-226, Bank for International Settlements.
    4. Ronald McKinnon & Gunther Schnabl, 2006. "The East Asian Dollar Standard, Fear of Floating, and Original Sin," Chapters, in: Volbert Alexander & Hans-Helmut Kotz (ed.), Global Divergence in Trade, Money and Policy, chapter 3, pages 45-71, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Sahminan, Sahminan, 2005. "Estimating Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates of the Rupiah," MPRA Paper 94555, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Jardine Ariena Husman, 2005. "PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR RIIL TERHADAP NERACA PERDAGANGAN BILATERAL INDONESIA: Kondisi Marshall-Lerner dan Fenomena J-curve," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 8(3), pages 1-26, December.
    7. Corrinne Ho & Robert N. McCauley, 2003. "Living with flexible exchange rates: issues and recent experience in inflation targeting emerging market economies," BIS Working Papers 130, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. McKinnon, Ronald I., 2004. "The East Asian dollar standard," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 325-330.
    9. Ronald I. McKinnon, 2002. "After the Crisis, the East Asian Dollar Standard Resurrected: An Interpretation of High-Frequency Exchange Rate Pegging," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Augustine H H Tan (ed.), Monetary And Financial Management In Asia In The 21st Century, chapter 2, pages 21-77, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    10. Takatoshi Ito & Kiyotaka Sato, 2006. "Exchange Rate Changes and Inflation in Post-Crisis Asian Economies: VAR Analysis of the Exchange Rate Pass-Through," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-406, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    11. Siti Astiyah & M. Setyawan Santoso, 2005. "Nilai Tukar dan Trade Flows," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 8(3), pages 1-32, December.
    12. Takatoshi Ito & Anne O. Krueger, 1994. "Macroeconomic Linkage: Savings, Exchange Rates, and Capital Flows," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number ito_94-1.
    13. M S Mohanty & Philip Turner, 2005. "Intervention: what are the domestic consequences?," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Foreign exchange market intervention in emerging markets: motives, techniques and implications, volume 24, pages 56-81, Bank for International Settlements.
    14. Reza Siregar & Ramkishen Rajan, 2004. "Exchange Rate Policy and Reserve Management in Indonesia in the Context of East Asian Monetary Regionalism," Centre for International Economic Studies Working Papers 2004-03, University of Adelaide, Centre for International Economic Studies.
    15. Bank Indonesia, 2005. "Foreign exchange intervention and policy: Bank Indonesia experiences," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Foreign exchange market intervention in emerging markets: motives, techniques and implications, volume 24, pages 177-87, Bank for International Settlements.
    16. Mr. Taimur Baig, 2001. "Characterizing Exchange Rate Regimes in Post-Crisis East Asia," IMF Working Papers 2001/152, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. repec:idn:journl:v:20:y:2017:i:1b:p:1-22 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Mendy, David & Widodo, Tri, 2018. "Two Stage Markov Switching Model: Identifying the Indonesian Rupiah Per US Dollar Turning Points Post 1997 Financial Crisis," MPRA Paper 86728, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Abdul Jalil, 2020. "What Do We Know of Exchange Rate Pass Through?," PIDE Knowledge Brief 2020:5, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    4. Vietha Devia SS, 2019. "Analysis of Crude Oil Price and Exchange Rate Volatility on Macroeconomic Variables (Case Study of Indonesia as Emerging Economic Country)," International Journal of Business and Administrative Studies, Professor Dr. Bahaudin G. Mujtaba, vol. 5(5), pages 257-271.
    5. Tunç, Cengiz, 2017. "A Survey on Exchange Rate Pass through in Emerging Markets," Bulletin of Economic Theory and Analysis, BETA Journals, vol. 2(3), pages 205-233, July-Sept.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kim, Bong-Han & Kim, Hyeongwoo & Min, Hong-Ghi, 2013. "Reassessing the link between the Japanese yen and emerging Asian currencies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 306-326.
    2. Tony Cavoli & Ramkishen S. Rajan, 2005. "Have Exchange Rate Regimes in Asia Become More Flexible Post Crisis? Re-visiting the Evidence," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2005-06, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
    3. Thomas Willett & Eric M.P. Chiu & Sirathorn (B.J.) Dechsakulthorn & Ramya Ghosh & Bernard Kibesse & Kenneth Kim & Jeff (Yongbok) Kim & Alice Ouyang, 2011. "Classifying international aspects of currency regimes," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 3(4), pages 288-303, November.
    4. Ronald McKinnon & Gunther Schnabl, 2004. "The Return to Soft Dollar Pegging in East Asia: Mitigating Conflicted Virtue," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(2), pages 169-201, July.
    5. Eiji Ogawa, 2011. "Currency Baskets for East Asia," Chapters, in: Ulrich Volz (ed.), Regional Integration, Economic Development and Global Governance, chapter 14, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    6. Tony Cavoli & Ramkishen S. Rajan, 2005. "Have Exchange Rate Regimes in Asia become More Flexible Post crisis? Re-VISITING the EVIDENCE," Finance Working Papers 22563, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    7. Shin-ichi Fukuda & Sanae Ohno, 2006. "Post-crisis Exchange Rate Regimes in ASEAN:A New Empirical Test Based on Intra-daily Data (Forthcoming in "Singapore Economic Review". )," CARF F-Series CARF-F-079, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    8. Shin-Ichi Fukuda & Sanae Ohno, 2008. "Post-Crisis Exchange Rate Regimes In Asean: A New Empirical Test Based On Intra-Daily Data," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 53(02), pages 191-213.
    9. Ulrich Volz (ed.), 2011. "Regional Integration, Economic Development and Global Governance," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 14259.
    10. Kim, Bong-Han & Min, Hong-Ghi & McDonald, Judy & Hwang, Young-Soon, 2012. "Yen-synchronization of floating East Asian currencies: A regime-switching regression model and micro-structural analysis," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 221-232.
    11. Ronald McKinnon & Gunther Schnabl, 2002. "Synchronized Business Cycles in East Asia: Fluctuations in the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate and China’s Stabilizing Role," Working Papers 02010, Stanford University, Department of Economics.
    12. repec:got:cegedp:112 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Demosthenes N. Tambakis, 2007. "Fear of Floating and Social Welfare," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(3), pages 183-204, September.
    14. Patnaik, Ila & Sengupta, Rajeshwari, 2022. "Analyzing India's Exchange Rate Regime," India Policy Forum, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 18(1), pages 53-85.
    15. Ronald McKinnon & Gunther Schnabl, 2006. "The East Asian Dollar Standard, Fear of Floating, and Original Sin," Chapters, in: Volbert Alexander & Hans-Helmut Kotz (ed.), Global Divergence in Trade, Money and Policy, chapter 3, pages 45-71, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    16. Siwei Goo & Reza Siregar, 2009. "Economic Shocks And Exchange Rate As A Shock Absorber In Indonesia And Thailand," Staff Papers, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number sp72, April.
    17. Vithessonthi, Chaiporn & Tongurai, Jittima, 2014. "The spillover effects of unremunerated reserve requirements: Evidence from Thailand," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 338-351.
    18. Ulrich Volz, 2014. "RMB Internationalisation and Currency Cooperation in East Asia," Financial and Monetary Policy Studies, in: Frank Rövekamp & Hanns Günther Hilpert (ed.), Currency Cooperation in East Asia, edition 127, pages 57-81, Springer.
    19. Freitag, Stephan, 2010. "Choosing an anchor currency for the Pacific," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 112, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    20. Siregar, Reza Yamora & Goo, Siwei, 2010. "Effectiveness and commitment to inflation targeting policy: Evidence from Indonesia and Thailand," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 113-128, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rate; Policy Challenges; Indonesia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:idn:wpaper:wp252008. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Lutzardo Tobing or Jimmy Kathon (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bigovid.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.