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Effectiveness and Commitment To Inflation Targeting Policy: Evidences From Indonesia and Thailand

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  • Siregar, Reza Yamora
  • Goo, Siwei

Abstract

The chief objective of our paper is to highlight basic features of the IT policies adopted by Indonesia and Thailand, and to evaluate the commitment of the monetary authorities and the overall performances of the IT regime. The results demonstrate that the IT regime in these two economies has had some success, but not during the immediate aftermath of the Lehman Brothers' collapse in the last quarter of 2008. Furthermore, the implementations of the IT policy in these two Southeast Asian economies have largely been "flexible" during the stable period, seeking the balance between narrowing output gap, managing exchange rate volatility, and anchoring inflationary pressure. However during the turbulent period, there had been a heightened focus in anchoring inflationary expectation. (This paper has also been published in the Journal of Asian Economics, Vol. 21, No.2, April 2010, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/10490078).

Suggested Citation

  • Siregar, Reza Yamora & Goo, Siwei, 2009. "Effectiveness and Commitment To Inflation Targeting Policy: Evidences From Indonesia and Thailand," Staff Papers, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number sp73, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sea:spaper:sp73
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    3. Siti Hamizah Mohd & Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Stilianos Fountas, 2013. "Inflation, Inflation Uncertainty And Output Growth: Recent Evidence From Asean-5 Countries," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 58(04), pages 1-17.
    4. Petrevski, Goran, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," EconStor Preprints 271122, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    5. Pham, Thu Anh Thi & Nguyen, Thong Trung & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Duc Huynh, Toan Luu, 2023. "Exchange rate pass-through: A comparative analysis of inflation targeting & non-targeting ASEAN-5 countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 158-167.
    6. Siregar, Reza & Wiranto, Willeam, 2009. "In the Midst of Global Financial Slowdown: the Indonesian Experience," MPRA Paper 19657, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Junankar, Pramod N. (Raja), 2019. "Monetary Policy, Growth and Employment in Developing Areas: A Review of the Literature," IZA Discussion Papers 12197, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    8. Sy-Hoa Ho & Idir Hafrad & Viet Dung Tran, 2022. "Asymmetric exchange rates pass-through in Vietnam," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(3), pages 1657-1672.
    9. Djuranovik, Leslie, 2014. "The Indonesian macroeconomy and the yield curve: A dynamic latent factor approach," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 1-15.
    10. Inoue, Takeshi & Toyoshima, Yuki & Hamori, Shigeyuki, 2012. "Inflation targeting in Korea, Indonesia, Thailand, and the Philippines : the impact on business cycle synchronization between each country and the world," IDE Discussion Papers 328, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    11. Siregar, Reza & Pontines, Victor & Mohd Hussain, Nurulhuda, 2010. "The US Subprime Crises and Extreme Market Pressures in Asia," MPRA Paper 22995, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Soon, Siew-Voon & Wohar, Mark E., 2017. "Markov-switching analysis of exchange rate pass-through: Perspective from Asian countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 245-257.
    13. Zafar Hayat & Saher Masood, 2022. "Inflation Targeting Skepticism: Myth or Reality? A Way Forward for Pakistan (Article)," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 1-27.

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    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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