IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/idn/wpaper/wp142015.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Key Indicators, Reciprocity And Regulation Of The Countercyclical Capital Buffer In Indonesia

Author

Listed:
  • Bambang Pramono

    (Bank Indonesia)

  • Januar Hafidz

    (Bank Indonesia)

  • Justina Adamanti

    (Bank Indonesia)

  • Maulana Harris Muhajir

    (Bank Indonesia)

  • Muhammad Sahirul Alim

    (Bank Indonesia)

Abstract

The Countercyclical Capital Buffer (CCB) is one of the macroprudential policy instruments that is needed in Indonesia. In December 2010, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) released guidelines for the national authorities in determining the size of the CCB. BCBS recommended the use of the ratio of broad credit to GDP gap as the key indicator in determining the size of the CCB rate and the period the CCB is effective with the lower limit (L)and the upper limit (H) standing at 2% and 10% respectively. However, the ratio of broad credit to GDP gap indicator is not appropriate for Indonesia because it is not able to identify excessive credit growth before a crisis occurs. Because of that, several other indicators are tested in this paper to determine which indicator is the most suitable given the state of Indonesia’s banking conditions and economy. The test results show that the banks’ ratio of broad credit to GDP gap is the most appropriate indicator with L and H of 3% and 6%, respectively. In adopting CCB policy, the matter of jurisdictional reciprocity warrants attention considering there are banks which operate internationally. The matter of reciprocity is closely related to how the CCB policy is implemented for branch offices of overseas banks (KCBA) and branch offices of domestic banks abroad (KCLN). Furthermore, because CCB policy will be implemented in Indonesia, a regulation needs to be devised concerning the requirement to form CCB as a reference for Bank Indonesia, the banking sector, and other stakeholders.

Suggested Citation

  • Bambang Pramono & Januar Hafidz & Justina Adamanti & Maulana Harris Muhajir & Muhammad Sahirul Alim, 2015. "Key Indicators, Reciprocity And Regulation Of The Countercyclical Capital Buffer In Indonesia," Working Papers WP/14/2015, Bank Indonesia.
    • Handle: RePEc:idn:wpaper:wp142015
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://publication-bi.org/repec/idn/wpaper/WP142015.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2015
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Filardo, Andrew & Genberg, Hans & Hofmann, Boris, 2016. "Monetary analysis and the global financial cycle: An Asian central bank perspective," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 1-16.
    2. Saurabh Ghosh, 2015. "Building on the Countercyclical Buffer Consensus: An Empirical Test," Research Studies, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number rp95, April.
    3. Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann, 2009. "Assessing the risk of banking crises - revisited," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    4. Mathias Drehmann & Claudio Borio & Leonardo Gambacorta & Gabriel Jiminez & Carlos Trucharte, 2010. "Countercyclical capital buffers: exploring options," BIS Working Papers 317, Bank for International Settlements.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Antunes, António & Bonfim, Diana & Monteiro, Nuno & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M., 2018. "Forecasting banking crises with dynamic panel probit models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 249-275.
    2. Christian Castro & Ángel Estrada & Jorge Martínez, 2016. "The countercyclical capital buffer in spain: an analysis of key guiding indicators," Working Papers 1601, Banco de España.
    3. Robert Kelly & Kieran Mcquinn & Rebecca Stuart, 2011. "Exploring the Steady-State Relationship Between Credit and GDP for a Small Open Economy–The Case Of Ireland," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 42(4), pages 455-477.
    4. Malgorzata Olszak, 2012. "Macroprudential policy - aim, instruments and institutional architecture (Polityka ostroznosciowa w ujêciu makro - cel, instrumenty i architektura instytucjonalna)," Problemy Zarzadzania, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 10(39), pages 7-32.
    5. Mathias Drehmann & James Yetman, 2021. "Which Credit Gap Is Better at Predicting Financial Crises? A Comparison of Univariate Filters," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(70), pages 1-31, October.
    6. Audit, Dooneshsingh & Alam, Nafis, 2022. "Why have credit variables taken centre stage in predicting systemic banking crises?," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(1).
    7. Krug, Sebastian, 2015. "The interaction between monetary and macroprudential policy: Should central banks "lean against the wind" to foster macrofinancial stability?," Economics Working Papers 2015-08, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
    8. Ihejirika, Peters. O, 2020. "Does the Credit-to-GDP Gap Predict Financial Crisis in Nigeria?," International Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(2), pages 109-126, June.
    9. Evelina Bazini, 2021. "E-Banking as a Tool for Competition Advantage in Albania," European Journal of Economics and Business Studies Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 1, September.
    10. Tölö, Eero, 2020. "Predicting systemic financial crises with recurrent neural networks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    11. Filardo, Andrew & Genberg, Hans & Hofmann, Boris, 2016. "Monetary analysis and the global financial cycle: An Asian central bank perspective," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 1-16.
    12. Alessi, Lucia & Detken, Carsten, 2018. "Identifying excessive credit growth and leverage," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 215-225.
    13. Schudel, Willem, 2015. "Shifting horizons: assessing macro trends before, during, and following systemic banking crises," Working Paper Series 1766, European Central Bank.
    14. Tihana Skrinjaric & Maja Bukovsak, 2022. "Improving The Calibration Of Countercyclical Capital Buffer: New Indicators Of Credit Gap In Croatia," Economic Thought and Practice, Department of Economics and Business, University of Dubrovnik, vol. 31(2), pages 541-568, december.
    15. Magdalena Grothe, 2020. "Monitoring Vulnerabilities in the Residential Real Estate Sector in Poland," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 2, pages 5-24.
    16. Gertler, Pavel & Hofmann, Boris, 2018. "Monetary facts revisited," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 154-170.
    17. Алдашев А. // Aldashev А. & Баткеев Б. // Batkeyev В., 2024. "Задолженность домохозяйств, гетерогенность и финансовая стабильность на примере Казахстана // Household debt, heterogeneity and financial stability: Evidence from Kazakhstan," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 90-91.
    18. Яндиев М. // Yandiyev М., 2024. "Феномен недооценки при первичном размещении акций объясняется алчностью финансовых спекулянтов // The Phenomenon of Underpricing during Initial Public Offering is Explained by the Greed of Financial S," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 65-85.
    19. Iñaki Aldasoro & Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann, 2018. "Early warning indicators of banking crises: expanding the family," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    20. Theshne Kisten, 2019. "A financial stress index for South Africa: A time-varying correlation approach," Working Papers 805, Economic Research Southern Africa.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Countercyclical Capital Buffer; Procyclicality; Macroprudential; Gap Credit to GDP;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:idn:wpaper:wp142015. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Lutzardo Tobing or Jimmy Kathon (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bigovid.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.