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Nonparametric Beta Kernel Estimator for Long Memory Time Series

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  • Bouezmarni, Taoufik
  • Van Bellegem, Sébastien

Abstract

The paper introduces a new nonparametric estimator of the spectral density that is given in smoothing the periodogram by the probability density of Beta random variable (Beta kernel). The estimator is proved to be bounded for short memory data, and diverges at the origin for long memory data. The convergence in probability of the relative error and Monte Carlo simulations suggest that the estimator automaticaly adapts to the long- or the short-range dependency of the process. A cross-validation procedure is also studied in order to select the nuisance parameter of the estimator. Illustrations on historical as well as most recent returns and absolute returns of the S&P500 index show the reasonable performance of the estimation, and show that the data-driven estimator is a valuable tool for the detection of long-memory as well as hidden periodicities in stock returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Bouezmarni, Taoufik & Van Bellegem, Sébastien, 2009. "Nonparametric Beta Kernel Estimator for Long Memory Time Series," IDEI Working Papers 633, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
    • Handle: RePEc:ide:wpaper:22191
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Lobato, Ignacio N & Savin, N E, 1998. "Real and Spurious Long-Memory Properties of Stock-Market Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(3), pages 261-268, July.
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    7. Chen, Song Xi, 1999. "Beta kernel estimators for density functions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 131-145, August.
    8. Lobato, Ignacio N & Velasco, Carlos, 2000. "Long Memory in Stock-Market Trading Volume," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 18(4), pages 410-427, October.
    9. Marc Henry, 2007. "Bandwidth Choice, Optimal Rates and Adaptivity in Semiparametric Estimation of Long Memory," Springer Books, in: Gilles Teyssière & Alan P. Kirman (ed.), Long Memory in Economics, pages 157-172, Springer.
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    11. Donald W. K. Andrews & Yixiao Sun, 2004. "Adaptive Local Polynomial Whittle Estimation of Long-range Dependence," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(2), pages 569-614, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ouimet, Frédéric & Tolosana-Delgado, Raimon, 2022. "Asymptotic properties of Dirichlet kernel density estimators," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    2. Karine Bertin & Nicolas Klutchnikoff, 2014. "Adaptive Estimation of a Density Function using Beta Kernels," Working Papers 2014-08, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    spectral density; long rage dependence; nonparametric estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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