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The Evolution of Urban Concentration Around the World: A Panel Approach

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  • Alejandro Gaviria
  • Ernesto H. Stein

Abstract

In this paper, we use a panel approach to study population growth in major cities around the world. We find that major cities grow faster in relatively backward economies and in more volatile, faster-growing economies. We also find that the effects of trade policy on the growth of major cities hinge heavily on geography. While population growth in major cities located at or near ports does not change after an upsurge of trade flows, population growth in landlocked major cities tends to slow down after the same event. On the other hand, we do not find any effect of political regime on the population growth of major cities. Finally, we find some evidence that, other things being equal, larger cities tend to grow at smaller rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Alejandro Gaviria & Ernesto H. Stein, 2000. "The Evolution of Urban Concentration Around the World: A Panel Approach," Research Department Publications 4197, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:idb:wpaper:4197
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    Cited by:

    1. Mauricio Ramírez Grajeda & Ian M. Sheldon, 2015. "Trade Openness and City Interaction," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Amitrajeet A Batabyal & Peter Nijkamp (ed.), THE REGION AND TRADE New Analytical Directions, chapter 10, pages 267-318, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Zhang, Yuan & Wan, Guanghua, 2017. "Exploring the Trade–Urbanization Nexus in Developing Economies: Evidence and Implications," ADBI Working Papers 636, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    3. Francisca Guedes de Oliveira, 2010. "Evidence on the relation between public capital and Government efficiency," Working Papers de Economia (Economics Working Papers) 01, Católica Porto Business School, Universidade Católica Portuguesa.
    4. Gaviria, Alejandro & Pages, Carmen, 2002. "Patterns of crime victimization in Latin American cities," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 181-203, February.
    5. Wang, Yao & Dong, Weijia, 2022. "How China's high-speed rail promote local economy: New evidence from county-level panel data," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 67-81.
    6. Francisca Guedes de Oliveira, 2012. "Empirical Determinants of Government Efficiency: A study Based on Objective Indicators," Working Papers de Economia (Economics Working Papers) 03, Católica Porto Business School, Universidade Católica Portuguesa.
    7. Alejandro Gaviria, 2010. "Cambio social en Colombia durante la segunda mitad del siglo XX," Documentos CEDE 7714, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    8. Dani Nedal & Megan Stewart & Michael Weintraub, 2020. "Urban Concentration and Civil War," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 64(6), pages 1146-1171, July.
    9. Johann Spitzer & Giuseppe Folloni, 2013. "Is Growth of Large Cities Linked to Economic and Institutional Weaknesses?," SCIENZE REGIONALI, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2013(3), pages 23-52.
    10. Guanghua Wan & Dan Yang & Yuan Zhang, 2017. "Why Asia and China have lower urban concentration and urban primacy," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 90-105, January.

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