Die Bedeutung der regionalen Wirtschaftsstruktur für die Arbeitsmarkteffekte der Corona-Pandemie - Eine erste Einschätzung

"The ongoing corona crisis has led to an unprecedented increase in the take-up of short-time work. At the same time, unemployment has increased considerably. Far less attention has been paid to the regional differences in the corona-induced impact on the flows between unemployment and employment. The so-called ‘corona effect’, which is defined as the difference in the annual change of the inflow rate from employment to unemployment and the outflow rate from unemployment into employment, varies considerably across regions. Based on the results of a regression analysis, we find a strong association between the size of the corona effect and the regional sector structure. In particular, regions with a higher fraction of workers employed in sectors that were the most strongly affected by the shutdown measures that were implemented at the start of the pandemic have on average experienced a larger increase in the corona effect. Moreover, we also find that differences in the corona effect are related with the establishment size composition within the highly affected sector. We provide detailed evidence of how these associations develop over time and to what extent of the relation between the corona affect and the different regional measures are due to an association with changes in the inflow rate, the out-flow rate or both." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))