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Firm survival, uncertainty and Financial frictions: Is there a Financial uncertainty accelerator?

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  • Joseph P. Byrne
  • Marina-Eliza Spaliara
  • Serafeim Tsoukas

Abstract

Using a large panel of unquoted UK firms over the period 2000-09, we examine the impact of firm-specific uncertainty on corporate failures. In this context we also distinguish between firms which are likely to be more or less dependent on bank finance as well as public and non-public companies. Our results document a significant effect of uncertainty on firm survival. This link is found to be more potent during the recent financial crisis compared with tranquil periods. We also uncover significant firm-level heterogeneity since the survival chances of bank-dependent and non-public firms are most affected by changes in uncertainty, especially during the recent global financial crisis.

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  • Joseph P. Byrne & Marina-Eliza Spaliara & Serafeim Tsoukas, 2015. "Firm survival, uncertainty and Financial frictions: Is there a Financial uncertainty accelerator?," Heriot-Watt University Economics Discussion Papers 1506, Department of Economics, School of Management and Languages, Heriot Watt University.
    • Handle: RePEc:hwe:hwuedp:1506
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    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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