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Statistical Inference for the Tangency Portfolio in High Dimension

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Abstract

In this paper, we study the distributional properties of the tangency portfolio (TP) weights assuming a normal distribution of the logarithmic returns. We derive a stochastic representation of the TP weights that fully describes their distribution. Under a high-dimensional asymptotic regime, i.e. the dimension of the portfolio, k, and the sample size, n, approach infinity such that k/n → c ∈ (0, 1), we deliver the asymptotic distribution of the TP weights. Moreover, we consider tests about the elements of the TP and derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic under the null and alternative hypotheses. In a simulation study, we compare the asymptotic distribution of the TP weights with the exact finite sample density. We also compare the high-dimensional asymptotic test with an exact small sample test. We document a good performance of the asymptotic approximations except for small sample sizes combined with c close to one. In an empirical study, we analyze the TP weights in portfolios containing stocks from the S&P 500 index.

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  • Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Muhinyuza, Stanislas, 2020. "Statistical Inference for the Tangency Portfolio in High Dimension," Working Papers 2020:10, Örebro University, School of Business.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhs:oruesi:2020_010
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    1. Farrukh Javed & Stepan Mazur & Erik Thorsén, 2024. "Tangency portfolio weights under a skew-normal model in small and large dimensions," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 75(7), pages 1395-1406, July.
    2. Alfelt, Gustav & Mazur, Stepan, 2020. "On the mean and variance of the estimated tangency portfolio weights for small samples," Working Papers 2020:8, Örebro University, School of Business.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tangency portfolio; high-dimensional asymptotics; hypothesis testing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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