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Higher order moments of the estimated tangency portfolio weights

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  • Farrukh Javed
  • Stepan Mazur
  • Edward Ngailo

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the estimated weights of the tangency portfolio. We derive analytical expressions for the higher order non-central and central moments of these weights when the returns are assumed to be independently and multivariate normally distributed. Moreover, the expressions for mean, variance, skewness and kurtosis of the estimated weights are obtained in closed forms. Later, we complement our results with a simulation study where data from the multivariate normal and t-distributions are simulated, and the first four moments of estimated weights are computed by using the Monte Carlo experiment. It is noteworthy to mention that the distributional assumption of returns is found to be important, especially for the first two moments. Finally, through an empirical illustration utilizing returns of four financial indices listed in NASDAQ stock exchange, we observe the presence of time dynamics in higher moments.

Suggested Citation

  • Farrukh Javed & Stepan Mazur & Edward Ngailo, 2021. "Higher order moments of the estimated tangency portfolio weights," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(3), pages 517-535, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:japsta:v:48:y:2021:i:3:p:517-535
    DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2020.1736523
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    1. Taras Bodnar & Stepan Mazur & Nestor Parolya, 2019. "Central limit theorems for functionals of large sample covariance matrix and mean vector in matrix‐variate location mixture of normal distributions," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 46(2), pages 636-660, June.
    2. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    3. Mark Britten‐Jones, 1999. "The Sampling Error in Estimates of Mean‐Variance Efficient Portfolio Weights," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(2), pages 655-671, April.
    4. Taras Bodnar & Yarema Okhrin, 2011. "On the Product of Inverse Wishart and Normal Distributions with Applications to Discriminant Analysis and Portfolio Theory," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 38(2), pages 311-331, June.
    5. Olha Bodnar, 2009. "Sequential Surveillance Of The Tangency Portfolio Weights," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(06), pages 797-810.
    6. Andrew G. Glen, 2017. "On the Inverse Gamma as a Survival Distribution," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Andrew G. Glen & Lawrence M. Leemis (ed.), Computational Probability Applications, chapter 2, pages 15-30, Springer.
    7. Okhrin, Yarema & Schmid, Wolfgang, 2006. "Distributional properties of portfolio weights," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 235-256, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mårten Gulliksson & Anna Oleynik & Stepan Mazur, 2024. "Portfolio Selection with a Rank-Deficient Covariance Matrix," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(6), pages 2247-2269, June.
    2. Farrukh Javed & Stepan Mazur & Erik Thorsén, 2024. "Tangency portfolio weights under a skew-normal model in small and large dimensions," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 75(7), pages 1395-1406, July.
    3. Drin, Svitlana & Mazur, Stepan & Muhinyuza, Stanislas, 2023. "A test on the location of tangency portfolio for small sample size and singular covariance matrix," Working Papers 2023:11, Örebro University, School of Business.
    4. Mårten Gulliksson & Stepan Mazur, 2020. "An Iterative Approach to Ill-Conditioned Optimal Portfolio Selection," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(4), pages 773-794, December.
    5. Wang, Chou-Wen & Liu, Kai & Li, Bin & Tan, Ken Seng, 2022. "Portfolio optimization under multivariate affine generalized hyperbolic distributions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 49-66.
    6. Lassance, Nathan & Vanderveken, Rodolphe & Vrins, Frédéric, 2022. "On the optimal combination of naive and mean-variance portfolio strategies," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2022006, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    7. Andrew Grant & Oh Kang Kwon & Steve Satchell, 2024. "Properties of risk aversion estimated from portfolio weights," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(5), pages 427-444, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C44 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Operations Research; Statistical Decision Theory

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