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Drawing Inferences about Housing Supply Elasticity from House Price Responses to Income Shocks

Author

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  • Michelle Harter-Dreiman

    (Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to provide information about the price elasticity of the housing supply by examining the relationship between the average price of single-family housing and the amount of personal income. A two-equation vector error correction system is estimated using a panel data set consisting of 76 MSAs from 1980 to 1998. The results suggest an elastic long-run supply function but a relatively slow pace of adjustment to long-run equilibrium. Hence a major demand shock can be expected to impact housing prices for several years following the shock. Differences in the responsiveness among subgroups of MSAs are examined and found to be generally minor.

Suggested Citation

  • Michelle Harter-Dreiman, 2003. "Drawing Inferences about Housing Supply Elasticity from House Price Responses to Income Shocks," FHFA Staff Working Papers 03-02, Federal Housing Finance Agency.
    • Handle: RePEc:hfa:wpaper:03-02
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    File URL: https://www.fhfa.gov/sites/default/files/2023-04/2003-12_WorkingPaper_03-2_N508.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Lastrapes, William D. & Potts, Todd B., 2006. "Durable goods and the forward-looking theory of consumption: Estimates implied by the dynamic effects of money," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(8), pages 1409-1430, August.

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