IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/wpcatt/hal-01880349.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

La Macroéconomie des PSEM : état des lieux et relations avec l’Union Européenne

Author

Listed:
  • Serge Rey

    (CATT - Centre d'Analyse Théorique et de Traitement des données économiques - UPPA - Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour)

Abstract

Pour la période 1970-2010, on examine la situation macroéconomique et financière des PSEM, et on la compare notamment avec celle des pays de l'UE. Dans l'ensemble les performances macroéconomiques des PSEM paraissent plutôt bonnes. L'inflation est maîtrisée, la croissance économique est au rendez-vous, même si elle est en deçà de celle des grands pays émergents, les déficits publics et les dettes sont contenus. De ce point de vue, le bilan économique est positif et on ne saurait y trouver les racines des troubles politiques récents. Néanmoins, si on y regarde de plus près un indicateur économique pose problème, c'est le chômage. Ces pays ont en commun une population jeune, et souvent éduquée, qui peine à trouver un emploi. Avec des taux de chômage des jeunes autour de 20%, voire 30% pour la Tunisie et 40% pour l'Algérie, les "bons chiffres" de l'inflation et des finances publiques ne pourront faire longtemps illusion.

Suggested Citation

  • Serge Rey, 2011. "La Macroéconomie des PSEM : état des lieux et relations avec l’Union Européenne," Working papers of CATT hal-01880349, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpcatt:hal-01880349
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://univ-pau.hal.science/hal-01880349v1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://univ-pau.hal.science/hal-01880349v1/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Francisco Serranito, 2010. "Rattrapage technologique et convergence : un test par les séries temporelles dans le cas des pays de la région MENA," Revue d’économie du développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 18(2), pages 5-45.
    2. Chami Ralph & Hakura Dalia S. & Montiel Peter J., 2012. "Do Worker Remittances Reduce Output Volatility in Developing Countries?," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-25, June.
    3. Abu-Qarn, Aamer S. & Abu-Bader, Suleiman, 2007. "Sources of Growth Revisited: Evidence from Selected MENA Countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 752-771, May.
    4. Serge Rey, 2006. "Effective Exchange Rate Volatility And Mena Countries Exports To The Eu," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 31(2), pages 23-54, December.
    5. REY, Serge, 2005. "Convergence réelle et convergence nominale dans les Pays de la région MENA [Real and nominal convergence amongst MENA countries]," MPRA Paper 30206, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Serge Rey, 2011. "La Macroéconomie des PSEM : état des lieux et relations avec l’Union Européenne," Working Papers hal-01880349, HAL.
    2. Serranito, Francisco, 2013. "Heterogeneous technology and the technological catching-up hypothesis: Theory and assessment in the case of MENA countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 685-697.
    3. Carlo Altomonte & Massimiliano Ferrara (ed.), 2014. "The Economic and Political Aftermath of the Arab Spring," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 15298.
    4. Nicolas Péridy & Mohamed Hazem & Marc Brunetto, 2013. "Some new insights into real convergence in MENA countries’ regional areas: a spatial econometric analysis," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 2(4), pages 150-160.
    5. Maria Giovanna Bosco & Roberto Mavilia, 2014. "Innovation performance of MENA countries: where do we stand?," Chapters, in: Carlo Altomonte & Massimiliano Ferrara (ed.), The Economic and Political Aftermath of the Arab Spring, chapter 7, pages 204-228, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    6. Erdal Demirhan & Banu Demirhan, 2015. "The Dynamic Effect of ExchangeRate Volatility on Turkish Exports: Parsimonious Error-Correction Model Approach," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 62(4), pages 429-451, September.
    7. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2023. "Duration of membership in the world trade organization and investment-oriented remittances inflows," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 258-277.
    8. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2022. "Duration of WTO Membership and Investment-Oriented Remittances Flows," EconStor Preprints 251274, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    9. Jean-Louis COMBES & Patrick PLANE & Tidiane KINDA & Rasmané OUEDRAOGO, 2017. "Does It Pour When it Rains? Capital Flows and Economic Growth in Developing Countries," Working Papers P157, FERDI.
    10. Arian Tahiri & Faruk Ahmeti & Burim Prenaj, 2023. "The Effect of International Migrant Remittances on Employment Patterns: Evidence from Kosovo," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 126-142.
    11. Abida Zouheir & Imen Mohamed Sghaier, 2014. "Remittances, Financial Development and Economic Growth: The Case of North African Countries," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 17(51), pages 137-170, March.
    12. Sakli Hniya & Ahlem Boubker & Fatma Mrad & Sawssen Nafti, 2021. "The Impact of Real Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in Tunisia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 52-67.
    13. Acikgoz, Senay & Ben Ali, Mohamed Sami, 2019. "Where does economic growth in the Middle Eastern and North African countries come from?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 172-183.
    14. Jacques Jaussaud & Serge Rey, 2012. "FDI to Japan and Trade Flows: A Comparison of BRICs, Asian Tigers and Developed Countries," Working papers of CATT hal-01880347, HAL.
    15. Bresciani, F. & Imai, K.S. & Malaeb, B., 2017. "IFAD RESEARCH SERIES 15 - Remittances, growth and poverty reduction in Asia," IFAD Research Series 280053, International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD).
    16. Luciano Fanti, 2012. "Consequences of a boost of mandatory retirement age on long run income and PAYG pensions," Discussion Papers 2012/149, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
    17. Supriyo De & Ergys Islamaj & M. Ayhan Kose & S. Reza Yousefi, 2019. "Remittances over the business cycle: Theory and evidence," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 48(3), November.
    18. Mushtaq Ahmad Malik & Tariq Masood, 2022. "Dynamics of Output Growth and Convergence in the Middle East and North African Countries: Heterogeneous Panel ARDL Approach," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(2), pages 1444-1469, June.
    19. Hayot Berk Saydaliev & Lee Chin, 2023. "The necessity of social infrastructure for enhancing educational attainment: evidence from high remittance recipient LMICs," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1823-1847, June.
    20. Eskander Alvi & Aberra Senbeta, 2012. "Foreign Aid: Good for Investment, Bad for Productivity," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(2), pages 139-161, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    PSEM; macroéconomie; chômage; inflation; finances publiques;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:wpcatt:hal-01880349. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CATT - UPPA - Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.