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Foreign Direct Investment and Output Volatility Nexus: A Global Analysis

Author

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  • Aisha Tauqir
  • Muhammad Tariq Majeed
  • Sadaf Kashif

Abstract

Volatility in output growth remains a genuine concern around the globe because of its detrimental effects on growth, poverty and welfare. In the realm of output volatility, the role of FDI and its consistency is particularly important and worth considering. This article examines the role of FDI inflows and specifically the instability in it on output growth volatility using a panel dataset of 141 world economies for the period 1971–2017. The study employs a variety of estimation techniques like pooled ordinary least squares (POLS), LS fixed effects (FE), LS random effects (RE), two stage least squares (2SLS) and generalised methods of moments (GMM). Findings of the study suggest that FDI acts as the volatility reducing factor, whereas uncertainty in it increases output volatility. On the policy front, this study recommends policies that not only encourage FDI inflows but also ensure the inflows to be more consistent and stable. Our results are robust corresponding to various above-mentioned estimation techniques and sensitivity analysis. JEL Codes: C23, E32, F21

Suggested Citation

  • Aisha Tauqir & Muhammad Tariq Majeed & Sadaf Kashif, 2022. "Foreign Direct Investment and Output Volatility Nexus: A Global Analysis," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 57(3), pages 283-309, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:fortra:v:57:y:2022:i:3:p:283-309
    DOI: 10.1177/00157325211042107
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Output volatility; foreign direct investment; foreign direct investment volatility; panel data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

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