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Qu'apporte la théorie évolutionniste à la compréhension de la transition en Russie ? Une application : temps incertitude et institutions

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  • Julien Vercueil

    (Inalco - Institut National des Langues et Civilisations Orientales)

Abstract

Début 1998, la transition est, en Russie, largement inachevée, même si certains réformateurs occidentaux proclament le contraire (Aslund [1995a]) : après une chute brutale et prolongée, la production tarde à se redresser, et même si le taux d'inflation apparent s'est progressivement réduit, les désordres monétaires et budgétaires sont encore le trait marquant de la situation économique en Russie. Face à ce constat, un renouvellement de la "théorie de la transition" semble nécessaire, fondement indispensable pour en transformer la pratique. Nous nous attacherons ici à envisager l'économie évolutionniste, autour de trois thèmes qui nous paraissent particulièrement intéressants pour l'étude de la transition : les questions du temps, de l'incertitude et du rôle des institutions dans l'économie.

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  • Julien Vercueil, 1998. "Qu'apporte la théorie évolutionniste à la compréhension de la transition en Russie ? Une application : temps incertitude et institutions," Working Papers halshs-01418945, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-01418945
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01418945
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    Keywords

    transition; Théorie évolutionniste;

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