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A bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis of government revenues and expenditures in the PIIGS countries

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  • Mihai Mutascu

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [UMR7322] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

The paper investigates the government revenues-expenditures nexus in the case of Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain (PIIGS). The analysis covers the period 1988-2014 and follows the bootstrap panel Granger causality proposed by Kónya (2006). The findings show that there is a one-way causality in case of Greece and Italy, from government revenues to spending. The same unidirectional causality is also registered for Portugal, but it runs from public expenditure to revenues. There is no Granger causality for Ireland and Spain.

Suggested Citation

  • Mihai Mutascu, 2015. "A bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis of government revenues and expenditures in the PIIGS countries," Working Papers halshs-01111809, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-01111809
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01111809
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Süleyman Bolat, 2014. "The Relationship Between Government Revenues And Expenditures: Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Analysis On European Countries," Economic Research Guardian, Weissberg Publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 58-73, December.
    8. Meltzer, Allan H & Richard, Scott F, 1981. "A Rational Theory of the Size of Government," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 89(5), pages 914-927, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mihai Mutascu, 2018. "G7 countries: between trade openness and CO2 emissions," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(3), pages 1446-1456.
    2. Alexandra Lavinia Horobeț & Irina Mnohoghitnei & Emanuela Marinela Luminița Zlatea & Alexandra Smedoiu-Popoviciu, 2023. "Determinants of E-Government Use in the European Union: An Empirical Analysis," Societies, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-17, June.
    3. A. Phiri, 2019. "Asymmetries in the revenue–expenditure nexus: new evidence from South Africa," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 1515-1547, May.
    4. Fabricio Linhares & Glauber Nojosa, 2020. "Changes in the tax-spend nexus: Evidence from selected European countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 3077-3087.
    5. Krasnopeeva, Natalia, 2023. "Revenues and expenditures of Russian regional budgets: Granger causality analysis," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 70, pages 5-33.
    6. Golpe, Antonio A. & Sánchez-Fuentes, A. Jesus & Vides, José Carlos, 2023. "Fiscal sustainability, monetary policy and economic growth in the Euro Area: In search of the ultimate causal path," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1026-1045.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    revenues; expenditures; government; bootstrap panel causality; PIIGS countries JEL-codes: H20;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H0 - Public Economics - - General
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

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