The Covid-19 crisis and the French urban public transport: what are the short-, medium- and long-term effects on provision and funding?[Crise du Covid-19 et Transports Collectifs Urbains en France : quels effets à court, moyen et long terme sur l’offre et leur financement ?]

While the development of urban public transport (UPT) is considered a priority to promote the ecological transition, the Covid-19 health crisis has affected its operation. It results from constraints on supply, made necessary by travel restrictions and limitations on economic activity during periods of confinement. Existing literature has focused mainly on the use of different modes of transport, changes in mobility practices and the way governments managed the crisis. This article focuses instead on the effects of covid-19 on the supply and financing of UPT, and analyses whether this crisis has given rise to new dynamics in the mobility organising authorities (AOMs). Using data from 95 AOMs (i.e. 35% of all AOMs in 2019) and a survey of some 39 AOMs (14%), three main results are established. First, there is a big fall in fare revenue, whatever the category of AOM in France. However, due to the small proportion of UPT funding paid for by users, this decline is easily offset by a variation in the mobility tax (versement mobilité), government subsidies and an increase in the contribution from local authorities. Second, the AOMs seem confident about the funding for prospects, through an expected increase in UPT patronage and a stability, or even an expected dynamic, in the mobility tax in the future. As a result, the health crisis does not seem to have encouraged the AOMs to find new resources to finance the development of their UPT services in the medium-to-long term. Third, and finally, the health crisis has contributed to shift travel policy priorities in the AOMs, in particular when it comes to investment strategies, by raising the importance of developing the use of bicycles.