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A New Cosmology of Risks and Crises: Time for a Radical Shift in Paradigm and Practice

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  • Patrick Lagadec

    (X-DEP-ECO - Département d'Économie de l'École Polytechnique - X - École polytechnique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris)

Abstract

Crises in the 21st century differ—structurally— from those we had to deal with in the last century. Those were traditionally defined and handled as a combination of "threat, urgency and uncertainty". Today, they are better described in terms of a destruction of vital references and a dynamic of systemic implosions. If crises were a type of severe, dynamic accident , they are becoming the essential mode of life of our hypercomplex systems. These transboundary crises mark a watershed between mindsets and tools of the past, and the new strategic landscape which we are now in. The intellectual and governance challenges are extreme. But looking backwards is not an option. It is vital to forge new routes into Terrae Incognitae. The goal of this article is to help build a) a renewed understanding of the emerging challenges we face; b) a better strategic response to these systemic dislocations which are now the name of the game.

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  • Patrick Lagadec, 2009. "A New Cosmology of Risks and Crises: Time for a Radical Shift in Paradigm and Practice," Working Papers hal-00370652, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-00370652
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-00370652
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    Cited by:

    1. Nicolas Rossignol & Pierre Delvenne & Catrinel Turcanu, 2015. "Rethinking Vulnerability Analysis and Governance with Emphasis on a Participatory Approach," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(1), pages 129-141, January.
    2. Shehla Najib & Rashidi.Z, 2018. "Student Protests In Universities: Exploring The Model For Crisis Management, Crisis Leadership And Organizational Learning," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 14(1), pages 143-159.
    3. Frauke Austermann & Wei Shen & Assen Slim, 2020. "Governmental responses to COVID-19 and its economic impact: a brief Euro-Asian comparison," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 211-216, June.
    4. Michel Cros & Sophie Cros, 2015. "Management of crisis communication [Gestión de la comunicación de crisis]," Post-Print hal-02286833, HAL.
    5. Qing Yang & Yanxia Zhu & Xingxing Liu & Lingmei Fu & Qianqian Guo, 2019. "Bayesian-Based NIMBY Crisis Transformation Path Discovery for Municipal Solid Waste Incineration in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-21, April.
    6. Anouck Adrot & Jean-Luc Moriceau, 2013. "Introducing performativity to crisis management theory : an illustration from the 2003 French heat wave crisis response," Post-Print hal-01451075, HAL.
    7. Aino Ruggiero, 2016. "Making Communication Strategy Choices in a Fast Evolving Crisis Situation—Results from a Table-Top Discussion on an Anthrax Scenario," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-15, May.
    8. Michel Cros & Sophie Gaultier-Gaillard, 2015. "Management of crisis communication [Gestion de la comunicacion de crisis]," Post-Print hal-01850968, HAL.
    9. Shehla Najib & Rashidi. Z, 2018. "Student Protests In Universities: Exploring The Model For Crisis Management, Crisis Leadership And Organizational Learning," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 14(1), pages 14-12.

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