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Introducing carbon constraint in the steel sector: ULCOS scenarios and economic modeling

Author

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  • Elie Bellevrat

    (Enerdata)

  • Philippe Menanteau

    (LEPII - Laboratoire d'Economie de la Production et de l'Intégration Internationale - UPMF - Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Modeling activities and scenario building are at the heart of the economic analysis delivered by the ULCOS program. Two main objectives were followed in the framework of SP9. First the modeling team had to provide a set of coherent energy economic scenarios using POLES model. Second, the economic conditions for the emergence of the ULCOS technologies were analyzed. ULCOS contributes to the elaboration of contrasted scenarios that the steel industry could face in the long term. To aim at these objectives specific tools have been used: POLES model for the global energy system modeling and ISIM model for the steel sector based prospective ([1] Hidalgo, 2003). The most promising steel production technologies identified in ULCOS Phase 1 have been introduced into ISIM as generic technologies. ISIM was then integrated as a module into POLES modeling system. The main model outputs are the energy prices and mixes and the steel sector balances with a focus on the technology mix. Actually the climate policy scenarios developped in project allow making recommendations to the steel industry in terms of sustainable development but also in terms of business strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • Elie Bellevrat & Philippe Menanteau, 2009. "Introducing carbon constraint in the steel sector: ULCOS scenarios and economic modeling," Post-Print halshs-00430381, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00430381
    DOI: 10.1051/metal/2009059
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00430381
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gielen, Dolf & Moriguchi, Yuichi, 2002. "CO2 in the iron and steel industry: an analysis of Japanese emission reduction potentials," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 30(10), pages 849-863, August.
    2. Demailly, Damien & Quirion, Philippe, 2008. "European Emission Trading Scheme and competitiveness: A case study on the iron and steel industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 2009-2027, July.
    3. Hidalgo, Ignacio & Szabo, Laszlo & Carlos Ciscar, Juan & Soria, Antonio, 2005. "Technological prospects and CO2 emission trading analyses in the iron and steel industry: A global model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 583-610.
    4. Christophe Rynikiewicz, 2008. "The climate change challenge and transitions for radical changes in the European steel industry," Post-Print halshs-00005052, HAL.
    5. Philippe Menanteau, 2006. "Techpol, un observatoire des nouvelles technologies de l'énergie," Post-Print halshs-00188827, HAL.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dolf Gielen & Deger Saygin & Emanuele Taibi & Jean‐Pierre Birat, 2020. "Renewables‐based decarbonization and relocation of iron and steel making: A case study," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 24(5), pages 1113-1125, October.
    2. Wei, Rufei & Zhang, Lingling & Cang, Daqiang & Li, Jiaxin & Li, Xianwei & Xu, Chunbao Charles, 2017. "Current status and potential of biomass utilization in ferrous metallurgical industry," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 68(P1), pages 511-524.
    3. Quader, M. Abdul & Ahmed, Shamsuddin & Ghazilla, Raja Ariffin Raja & Ahmed, Shameem & Dahari, Mahidzal, 2015. "A comprehensive review on energy efficient CO2 breakthrough technologies for sustainable green iron and steel manufacturing," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 594-614.

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    Keywords

    STEEL INDUSTRY; MODELING; CLIMATE CHANGE; CO2;
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