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Spillover analysis across FinTech, ESG, and renewable energy indices before and during the Russia–Ukraine war: International evidence

Author

Listed:
  • Rim El Khoury
  • Nohad Nasrallah

    (LARGE - Laboratoire de Recherche en Gestion et Economie - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg)

  • Khaled Hussainey
  • Rima Assaf

Abstract

This study is epicentral to analyze the impact of the Russia–Ukraine war on the financial markets, specifically focusing on the connectedness and spillover dynamics of FinTech, Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG), renewable energy, gold, and Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) indices in developed and emerging countries. Data are collected from Thomson Reuters, ranging from May 8, 2020, to May 11, 2022, and a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) and the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) t-Copula (DCC-GARCH t-Copula) are used to analyze the data. The results show that FinTech, ESG, and MSCI are net transmitters in developed countries, whereas gold and renewable energy are net receivers pre- and during war periods. ESG and MSCI are net transmitters in emerging countries, while FinTech, renewable energy, and gold become net receivers in both periods. The hedging ratio sheds light on the costs and weights of efficient pair investments that might change in the context of each region and under the combined scenario. The study has important implications for merchant bankers, policymakers, investors, hedgers, and risk managers.

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  • Rim El Khoury & Nohad Nasrallah & Khaled Hussainey & Rima Assaf, 2023. "Spillover analysis across FinTech, ESG, and renewable energy indices before and during the Russia–Ukraine war: International evidence," Post-Print hal-04564870, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04564870
    DOI: 10.1111/jifm.12179
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04564870
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    2. Qin, Meng & Mirza, Nawazish & Su, Chi-Wei & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Exploring Bubbles in the Digital Economy: The Case of China," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Dicuonzo, Grazia & Palmaccio, Matteo & Shini, Matilda, 2024. "ESG, governance variables and Fintech: An empirical analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    4. Prelorentzos, Arsenios-Georgios N. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Xidonas, Panos & Goutte, Stephane & Thomakos, Dimitrios D., 2024. "Introducing the GVAR-GARCH model: Evidence from financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    5. Sang, Yuli & Xie, Mingjian & Bai, Xiaolong & Guo, Fusen, 2024. "Does natural resource dependence influence the impact of financial technologies on corporate ESG and digital governance in China's listed enterprises?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    6. Arnone, Massimo & Leogrande, Angelo, 2024. "The Sustainability of the Factoring Chain in Europe in the Light of the Integration of ESG Factors," MPRA Paper 121342, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Polat, Onur & Ozcan, Burcu & Ertuğrul, Hasan Murat & Atılgan, Emre & Özün, Alper, 2024. "Fintech: A Conduit for sustainability and renewable energy? Evidence from R2 connectedness analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    8. Lin, Xiang & Bali Swain, Ranjula, 2024. "Performance of negatively screened sustainable investments during crisis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1226-1247.
    9. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Abdullah, Mohammad & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Wali Ullah, G M, 2024. "Asymmetric dynamics between geopolitical conflict sentiment and cryptomarkets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    10. Kakran, Shubham & Kumari, Vineeta & Bajaj, Parminder Kaur & Sidhu, Arpit, 2024. "Exploring crisis-driven return spillovers in APEC stock markets: A frequency dynamics analysis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    11. Boglarka Bianka Kovacs & Gábor Neszveda & Eszter Baranyai & Adam Zaremba, 2024. "ESG unpacked: Environmental, social, and governance pillars and the stock price reaction to the invasion of Ukraine," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(3), pages 755-777, September.
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    13. Blasco, Natividad & Casas, Luis & Ferreruela, Sandra, 2024. "Does war spread the herding effect in stock markets? Evidence from emerging and developed markets during the Russia-Ukraine war," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    14. Xiao, Xunyong & Li, Aixi & Kchouri, Bilal & Shan, Shan, 2024. "Tracing the dynamic impact of energy transitions on equity market volatility in an era of financial turbulence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    15. Safi, Adnan & Kchouri, Bilal & Elgammal, Walid & Nicolas, Melhim Khoury & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "Bridging the green gap: Do green finance and digital transformation influence sustainable development?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
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