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The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the green energy transition – A capital market perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Nerlinger

    (University of St. Gallen - School of Finance and Swiss Finance Institute)

  • Sebastian Utz

    (University of St. Gallen - School of Finance)

Abstract

We investigate whether the Russia-Ukraine conflict has affected investors' assessment concerning a green energy transition. Based on a global energy sector sample, we apply an event study around the invasion on February 24, 2022. We find that energy firms' CAAR are positive around the event. Renewable energy firms generated comparably low abnormal returns than coal, oil and gas, and uranium. This pattern prevails except in North America, where they show the second-highest CAAR in 41 days around the event. Therefore, the Russia-Ukraine conflict appears not to entirely change the investors' assessment of a possible acceleration of a green energy transition.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Nerlinger & Sebastian Utz, 2022. "The impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on the green energy transition – A capital market perspective," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-49, Swiss Finance Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp2249
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    Cited by:

    1. Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel & Sinha, Avik & Murshed, Muntasir, 2023. "Russia-Ukraine conflict sentiments and energy market returns in G7 countries: Discovering the unexplored dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    2. Behnam Zakeri & Katsia Paulavets & Leonardo Barreto-Gomez & Luis Gomez Echeverri & Shonali Pachauri & Benigna Boza-Kiss & Caroline Zimm & Joeri Rogelj & Felix Creutzig & Diana Ürge-Vorsatz & David G. , 2022. "Pandemic, War, and Global Energy Transitions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-23, August.
    3. Kumar, Rahul & Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Goodell, John W., 2023. "Market reactions to layoff announcements during crises: Examining impacts and conditioners," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    4. Shen, Lihua & Hong, Yanran, 2023. "Can geopolitical risks excite Germany economic policy uncertainty: Rethinking in the context of the Russia-Ukraine conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    5. Kumari, Vineeta & Hassan, Majdi & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2024. "Are high-income and innovative nations resilient to the Russia-Ukraine war?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1268-1287.
    6. Al-Nassar, Nassar S. & Assaf, Rima & Chaibi, Anis & Makram, Beljid, 2024. "The nexus between mineral, renewable commodities, and regional stock sectors during health and military crises," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    7. Le, Thanh Ha, 2023. "Quantile time-frequency connectedness between cryptocurrency volatility and renewable energy volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic and Ukraine-Russia conflicts," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 613-625.
    8. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Wilhelm, Paulo Victor Berri & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2023. "Trade matters except to war neighbors: The international stock market reaction to 2022 Russia’s invasion of Ukraine," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    9. Guo, Yaoqi & Li, Yingli & Liu, Yongheng & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical relations on the evolution of cobalt trade network from the perspective of industrial chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    10. Belaïd, Fateh & Al-Sarihi, Aisha & Al-Mestneer, Raed, 2023. "Balancing climate mitigation and energy security goals amid converging global energy crises: The role of green investments," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 534-542.
    11. Xing, Xiaoyun & Xu, Zihan & Chen, Ying & Ouyang, WenPei & Deng, Jing & Pan, Huanxue, 2023. "The impact of the Russia–Ukraine conflict on the energy subsector stocks in China: A network-based approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    12. Wu, Feng-lin & Zhan, Xu-dong & Zhou, Jia-qi & Wang, Ming-hui, 2023. "Stock market volatility and Russia–Ukraine conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    13. Wang, Shanyong & Wang, Jing & Wang, Wenfu, 2023. "Do geopolitical risks facilitate the global energy transition? Evidence from 39 countries in the world," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    14. Wang, Tiantian & Wu, Fei & Dickinson, David & Zhao, Wanli, 2024. "Energy price bubbles and extreme price movements: Evidence from China's coal market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    15. Raquel Ibar-Alonso & Raquel Quiroga-García & Mar Arenas-Parra, 2022. "Opinion Mining of Green Energy Sentiment: A Russia-Ukraine Conflict Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(14), pages 1-22, July.
    16. Rim El Khoury & Nohad Nasrallah & Khaled Hussainey & Rima Assaf, 2023. "Spillover analysis across FinTech, ESG, and renewable energy indices before and during the Russia–Ukraine war: International evidence," Post-Print hal-04564870, HAL.
    17. Hasan Huseyin Coban & Wojciech Lewicki & Radosław Miśkiewicz & Wojciech Drożdż, 2022. "The Economic Dimension of Using the Integration of Highway Sound Screens with Solar Panels in the Process of Generating Green Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-20, December.
    18. Piotr F. Borowski, 2022. "Mitigating Climate Change and the Development of Green Energy versus a Return to Fossil Fuels Due to the Energy Crisis in 2022," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-16, December.
    19. Patel, Ritesh & Kumar, Sanjeev & Bouri, Elie & Iqbal, Najaf, 2023. "Spillovers between green and dirty cryptocurrencies and socially responsible investments around the war in Ukraine," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 143-162.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Russia-Ukraine conflict; energy; transition; event study; climate change;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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