IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-03579334.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Le modèle économique allemand est-il en crise ?

Author

Listed:
  • François Gave

    (Centre d’analyse et de prévision du ministère des Affaires étrangères)

Abstract

Les interrogations sur l'avenir du "modèle" allemand se multiplient aujourd'hui, en Allemagne comme en Europe ou aux Etats-Unis, à la faveur de la récession prolongée des années quatre-vingt-dix. Ces interrogations, quelque temporaires qu'elles puissent être, méritent un examen attentif. Cela, tout d'abord, parce que les perspectives de l'emploi et de la croissance en Europe sont étroitement liées à la conjoncture allemande. Pour les pays du "noyau dur" en particulier, le rôle de "locomotive" joué par l'Allemagne est peu contestable [pour la France, voir Bruno, 1995]. Et le bon fonctionnement du SME suppose que l'ancre du système, à savoir l'Allemagne, adopte un comportement vertueux au plan macro-économique. Or, dans un contexte marqué par des difficultés sociales et économiques croissantes dans une bonne partie de l'Europe, le ralentissement économique allemand redouble d'importance. Surtout, nous ne pouvons demeurer indifférents aux vicissitudes d'un modèle qui sert de référence, voire de guide, à l'Union européenne. Le mode de fonctionnement du SME, l'établissement des critères de Maastricht et demain, sans doute, lorsque la monnaie unique aura été établie, les spécificités de la politique monétaire européenne, tout cela traduit dans une large mesure les vues allemandes en matière de politique économique ; et la raison de cet assujettissement aux conceptions allemandes tient dans le respect qu'inspirent les performances de l'économie allemande et le modèle social dont on pense, à tort ou à raison, qu'elles sont le reflet.

Suggested Citation

  • François Gave, 1996. "Le modèle économique allemand est-il en crise ?," Post-Print hal-03579334, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03579334
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03579334
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03579334/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Franz, Wolfgang & Gordon, Robert J., 1993. "German and American wage and price dynamics : Differences and common themes," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 719-754, May.
    2. Soskice, David, 1990. "Wage Determination: The Changing Role of Institutions in Advanced Industrialized Countries," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 6(4), pages 36-61, Winter.
    3. Layard, Richard & Nickell, Stephen & Jackman, Richard, 2005. "Unemployment: Macroeconomic Performance and the Labour Market," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199279173.
    4. Lancaster, Kelvin, 1973. "The Dynamic Inefficiency of Capitalism," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(5), pages 1092-1109, Sept.-Oct.
    5. Oliver E. Williamson, 1993. "The Economic Analysis of Institutions and Organisations - in General and with Respect to Country Studies," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 133, OECD Publishing.
    6. Peter Hooper & KathrynA. Larin, 1989. "International Comparisons Of Labor Costs In Manufacturing," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 35(4), pages 335-355, December.
    7. repec:bla:revinw:v:35:y:1989:i:4:p:335-55 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Loïc Cadiou & Stéphanie Guichard & Mathilde Maurel, 2000. "Disparités institutionnelles et flexibilité des marchés du travail dans l'UE," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 332(1), pages 49-63.
    2. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/6120 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Melisso Boschi & Alessandro Girardi, 2005. "Euro Area inflation: long-run determinants and short-run dynamics," ISAE Working Papers 60, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY).
    4. Doménech, Rafael & Garcí­a, José Ramón, 2008. "Unemployment, taxation and public expenditure in OECD economies," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 202-217, March.
    5. Justus Haucap & Christian Wey, 2004. "Unionisation structures and innovation incentives," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 114(494), pages 149-165, March.
    6. Aurélien Gaimon & Vincent Lapegue & Paola Veroni & Noé N'Semi & Frédéric Reynés & Maël Theulière, 2007. "Does the interaction between shocks and institutions solve the OECD unemployment puzzle ? A theoretical and empirical appraisal," Working Papers hal-03602950, HAL.
    7. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/6120 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Alfred Stiassny, 1998. "Wage Setting and Hysteresis in Unemployment," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 25(1), pages 79-107, January.
    9. Fehn, Rainer, 2002. "Arbeitsmarktflexibilisierung und Arbeitslosigkeit," Discussion Paper Series 54, Julius Maximilian University of Würzburg, Chair of Economic Order and Social Policy.
    10. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/1905 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/6120 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Heyer, Eric & Reynes, Frederic & Sterdyniak, Henri, 2007. "Structural and reduced approaches of the equilibrium rate of unemployment, a comparison between France and the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 42-65, January.
    13. Bjørnstad, Roger & Kalstad, Kjartan Øren, 2010. "Increased price markup from union coordination: OECD panel evidence," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 4, pages 1-37.
    14. Nicholas Sarantis & Chris Stewart, 2000. "The ERM Effect, Conflict and Inflation in the European Union," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 25-43.
    15. Franz, Wolfgang & Smolny, Werner, 1993. "Sectoral wage and price formation and working time in Germany: An econometric analysis," Discussion Papers 5, University of Konstanz, Center for International Labor Economics (CILE).
    16. Aurélien Gaimon & Vincent Lapegue & Paola Veroni & Noé N'Semi & Frédéric Reynés & Maël Theulière, 2007. "Does the interaction between shocks and institutions solve the OECD unemployment puzzle ? A theoretical and empirical appraisal," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03602950, HAL.
    17. repec:eid:wpaper:01/10 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. repec:eee:labchp:v:3:y:1999:i:pc:p:2985-3028 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Goerke, Laszlo & Madsen, Jakob B., 2003. "Earnings-related unemployment benefits and unemployment," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 41-62, March.
    20. Odile Chagny & Frédéric Reynès & Henri Sterdyniak, 2002. "The equilibrium rate of unemployment : a theoretical discussion and an empirical evaluation for six OECD countries," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01027421, HAL.
    21. Horst Feldmann, 2010. "Venture Capital Availability and Labor Market Performance in Industrial Countries: Evidence Based on Survey Data," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(1), pages 23-54, February.
    22. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/1905 is not listed on IDEAS
    23. Elsa Fontainha, 2005. "Social cohesion across Europe. Does time allocation matter?," Transfer: European Review of Labour and Research, , vol. 11(1), pages 97-111, February.
    24. Chou, Y.K., 2001. "The Impact of Central Bank Independence and Union Concentration on Macroeconomic Perfromance in the Presence of Aggregate Supply Shocks. Evidence from 10 OECD Countries (1971-85)," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 805, The University of Melbourne.
    25. Tyrowicz, Joanna, 2009. "When Eastern Labour Markets Enter Western Europe CEECs. Labour Market Institutions upon Euro Zone Accession," MPRA Paper 15045, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    26. Sabina Avdagic, 2015. "Does Deregulation Work? Reassessing the Unemployment Effects of Employment Protection," British Journal of Industrial Relations, London School of Economics, vol. 53(1), pages 6-26, March.
    27. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/9726 is not listed on IDEAS
    28. Eichhorst, Werner & Feil, Michael & Braun, Christoph, 2008. "What have we learned? Assessing labor market institutions and indicators," IAB-Discussion Paper 200822, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03579334. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.