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A branching process approach to power markets

Author

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  • Ying Jiao

    (LSAF - Laboratoire de Sciences Actuarielle et Financière - UCBL - Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 - Université de Lyon)

  • Chunhua Ma
  • Simone Scotti
  • Carlo Sgarra

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Ying Jiao & Chunhua Ma & Simone Scotti & Carlo Sgarra, 2019. "A branching process approach to power markets," Post-Print hal-02954986, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02954986
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2018.03.002
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-02954986v1
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Benth, Fred Espen & Kiesel, Rüdiger & Nazarova, Anna, 2012. "A critical empirical study of three electricity spot price models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1589-1616.
    2. John C. Cox & Jonathan E. Ingersoll Jr. & Stephen A. Ross, 2005. "A Theory Of The Term Structure Of Interest Rates," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 5, pages 129-164, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Thilo Meyer-Brandis & Peter Tankov, 2008. "Multi-Factor Jump-Diffusion Models Of Electricity Prices," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(05), pages 503-528.
    4. Timothy Christensen & Stan Hurn & Kenneth Lindsay, 2009. "It Never Rains but it Pours: Modeling the Persistence of Spikes in Electricity Prices," The Energy Journal, , vol. 30(1), pages 25-48, January.
    5. Fred Espen Benth & Jūratė Šaltytė Benth & Steen Koekebakker, 2008. "Stochastic Modeling of Electricity and Related Markets," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 6811, September.
    6. Li, Zenghu & Ma, Chunhua, 2015. "Asymptotic properties of estimators in a stable Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(8), pages 3196-3233.
    7. Fred Espen Benth & Jan Kallsen & Thilo Meyer-Brandis, 2007. "A Non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process for Electricity Spot Price Modeling and Derivatives Pricing," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 153-169.
    8. Adam Clements & Joanne Fuller & Stan Hurn, 2013. "Semi-parametric Forecasting of Spikes in Electricity Prices," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 89(287), pages 508-521, December.
    9. Timothy Christensen & Stan Hurn & Kenneth Lindsay, 2009. "It Never Rains but it Pours: Modeling the Persistence of Spikes in Electricity Prices," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1), pages 25-48.
    10. Damir Filipovic, 2001. "A general characterization of one factor affine term structure models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 389-412.
    11. Herrera, Rodrigo & González, Nicolás, 2014. "The modeling and forecasting of extreme events in electricity spot markets," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 477-490.
    12. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Fred Espen Benth & Almut E. D. Veraart, 2013. "Modelling energy spot prices by volatility modulated L\'{e}vy-driven Volterra processes," Papers 1307.6332, arXiv.org.
    13. Filimonov, Vladimir & Bicchetti, David & Maystre, Nicolas & Sornette, Didier, 2014. "Quantification of the high level of endogeneity and of structural regime shifts in commodity markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 174-192.
    14. Kallsen, Jan & Muhle-Karbe, Johannes, 2010. "Exponentially affine martingales, affine measure changes and exponential moments of affine processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 163-181, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Song, Shiyu, 2024. "The valuation of arithmetic Asian options with mean reversion and jump clustering," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    2. Deschatre, Thomas & Féron, Olivier & Gruet, Pierre, 2021. "A survey of electricity spot and futures price models for risk management applications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    3. Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto & Guillaume Szulda, 2021. "CBI-time-changed L\'evy processes for multi-currency modeling," Papers 2112.02440, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    4. Fontana, Claudio & Gnoatto, Alessandro & Szulda, Guillaume, 2023. "CBI-time-changed Lévy processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 323-349.
    5. Frikha, Noufel & Li, Libo, 2021. "Well-posedness and approximation of some one-dimensional Lévy-driven non-linear SDEs," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 76-107.
    6. Aur'elien Alfonsi & Guillaume Szulda, 2024. "On non-negative solutions of stochastic Volterra equations with jumps and non-Lipschitz coefficients," Papers 2402.19203, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    7. Claudio Fontana & Alessandro Gnoatto & Guillaume Szulda, 2022. "CBI-time-changed Lévy processes," Working Papers 05/2022, University of Verona, Department of Economics.

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