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Consistent Investment of Sophisticated Rank-Dependent Utility Agents in Continuous Time

Author

Listed:
  • Ying Hu

    (IRMAR - Institut de Recherche Mathématique de Rennes - UR - Université de Rennes - INSA Rennes - Institut National des Sciences Appliquées - Rennes - INSA - Institut National des Sciences Appliquées - ENS Rennes - École normale supérieure - Rennes - UR2 - Université de Rennes 2 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INSTITUT AGRO Agrocampus Ouest - Institut Agro - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement)

  • Hanqing Jin

    (University of Oxford)

  • Xun Yu Zhou

Abstract

We study portfolio selection in a complete continuous-time market where the preference is dictated by the rank-dependent utility. As such a model is inherently time inconsistent due to the underlying probability weighting, we study the investment behavior of sophisticated consistent planners who seek (subgame perfect) intra-personal equilibrium strategies. We provide sufficient conditions under which an equilibrium strategy is a replicating portfolio of a final wealth. We derive this final wealth profile explicitly, which turns out to be in the same form as in the classical Merton model with the market price of risk process properly scaled by a deterministic function in time. We present this scaling function explicitly through the solution to a highly nonlinear and singular ordinary differential equation, whose existence of solutions is established. Finally, we give a necessary and sufficient condition for the scaling function to be smaller than 1 corresponding to an effective reduction in risk premium due to probability weighting.

Suggested Citation

  • Ying Hu & Hanqing Jin & Xun Yu Zhou, 2021. "Consistent Investment of Sophisticated Rank-Dependent Utility Agents in Continuous Time," Post-Print hal-02624308, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02624308
    DOI: 10.1111/mafi.12315
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-02624308
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ying Hu & Hanqing Jin & Xun Yu Zhou, 2012. "Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Linear--Quadratic Control," Post-Print hal-00691816, HAL.
    2. Yaari, Menahem E, 1987. "The Dual Theory of Choice under Risk," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(1), pages 95-115, January.
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    6. Hanqing Jin & Zuo Quan Xu & Xun Yu Zhou, 2008. "A Convex Stochastic Optimization Problem Arising From Portfolio Selection," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(1), pages 171-183, January.
    7. Quiggin, John, 1982. "A theory of anticipated utility," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 323-343, December.
    8. Tomomi Tanaka & Colin F. Camerer & Quang Nguyen, 2010. "Risk and Time Preferences: Linking Experimental and Household Survey Data from Vietnam," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(1), pages 557-571, March.
    9. Shi, Yun & Cui, Xiangyu & Zhou, Xunyu, 2020. "Beta and Coskewness Pricing: Perspective from Probability Weighting," SocArXiv 5rqhv, Center for Open Science.
    10. Quang Nguyen & Colin Camerer & Tomomi Tanaka, 2010. "Risk and Time Preferences Linking Experimental and Household Data from Vietnam," Post-Print halshs-00547090, HAL.
    11. Duan Li & Wan‐Lung Ng, 2000. "Optimal Dynamic Portfolio Selection: Multiperiod Mean‐Variance Formulation," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(3), pages 387-406, July.
    12. George Wu & Richard Gonzalez, 1996. "Curvature of the Probability Weighting Function," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 42(12), pages 1676-1690, December.
    13. Merton, Robert C, 1969. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(3), pages 247-257, August.
    14. Ying Hu & Hanqing Jin & Xun Yu Zhou, 2017. "Time-Inconsistent Stochastic Linear--Quadratic Control: Characterization and Uniqueness of Equilibrium," Post-Print hal-01139343, HAL.
    15. Tomas Björk & Agatha Murgoci & Xun Yu Zhou, 2014. "Mean–Variance Portfolio Optimization With State-Dependent Risk Aversion," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 1-24, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zongxia Liang & Sheng Wang & Jianming Xia & Fengyi Yuan, 2024. "Dynamic portfolio selection under generalized disappointment aversion," Papers 2401.08323, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    2. Christoph Frei & Liam Welsh, 2022. "How the Closure of a U.S. Tax Loophole May Affect Investor Portfolios," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-10, May.
    3. Zongxia Liang & Jianming Xia & Fengyi Yuan, 2023. "Dynamic portfolio selection for nonlinear law-dependent preferences," Papers 2311.06745, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    4. Xue Dong He & Xun Yu Zhou, 2021. "Who Are I: Time Inconsistency and Intrapersonal Conflict and Reconciliation," Papers 2105.01829, arXiv.org.
    5. Zongxia Liang & Fengyi Yuan, 2023. "Weak equilibria for time‐inconsistent control: With applications to investment‐withdrawal decisions," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 891-945, July.
    6. Zongxia Liang & Fengyi Yuan, 2021. "Equilibrium master equations for time-inconsistent problems with distribution dependent rewards," Papers 2112.14462, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2022.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rank-dependent utility; probability weighting; portfolio selection; con- tinuous time; time inconsistency; intra-personal equilibrium strategy; market price of risk;
    All these keywords.

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