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The International Contagion of Short-Run Interest Rates During the Great Depression

Author

Listed:
  • Samuel Maveyraud

    (GREThA - Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée - UB - Université de Bordeaux - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Antoine Parent

    (LAET - Laboratoire Aménagement Économie Transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, IEP Lyon - Sciences Po Lyon - Institut d'études politiques de Lyon - Université de Lyon)

Abstract

The aim of this chapter is to clearly identify the mechanisms of the money market spillovers between the United States, the United Kingdom and France during the interwar period. To describe these mechanisms in detail, a BEKK model, in which we introduce a structural break, is adopted. Our analysis sheds new light on key historical issues: Was the crisis imported into the US? Did France set off interest rate volatility in the rest of the world during the thirties? Does the propagation process of interest rate volatility corroborate the "Golden Fetters" hypothesis?

Suggested Citation

  • Samuel Maveyraud & Antoine Parent, 2017. "The International Contagion of Short-Run Interest Rates During the Great Depression," Post-Print hal-02273091, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02273091
    DOI: 10.1007/978-981-10-6196-7_2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    14. Dornbusch, Rudiger & Park, Yung Chul & Claessens, Stijn, 2000. "Contagion: Understanding How It Spreads," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 15(2), pages 177-197, August.
    15. Oskar Morgenstern, 1959. "International Financial Transactions and Business Cycles," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number morg59-1.
    16. Eichengreen, Barry & Accominotti, Olivier, 2013. "The Mother of All Sudden Stops: Capital Flows and Reversals in Europe, 1919-1932," CEPR Discussion Papers 9670, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    17. Tse, Y K & Tsui, Albert K C, 2002. "A Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model with Time-Varying Correlations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(3), pages 351-362, July.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Raphaël Hekimian & David Le Bris, 2016. "US Crashes of 2008 and 1929 How did the French market react? An empirical study," Working Papers hal-04141589, HAL.
    2. Antoine Parent & Cécile Bastidon & Michael Bordo & Marc Weidenmier, 2019. "Towards an unstable hook : the evolution of stock market integration since 1913," Sciences Po publications 26166, Sciences Po.
    3. Cécile Bastidon & Michael Bordo & Antoine Parent & Marc Weidenmier, 2019. "Towards an Unstable Hook: The Evolution of Stock Market Integration Since 1913," Working Papers halshs-03009753, HAL.
    4. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/1g62nsnv8d9lcrkbi2s8iikjat is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Raphael Hekimian & David Le Bris, 2016. "US Crashes of 2008 and 1929 How did the French market react? An empirical study," EconomiX Working Papers 2016-21, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    6. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/4i5altstgb8m7r2ltn240ldvb8 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Neha Seth & Monica Sighania, 2017. "Financial market contagion: selective review of reviews," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(4), pages 391-408, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    GARCH models; Interwar period; Interest rates; Gold exchange standard; Contagion; Financial crisis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • N12 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
    • N14 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Europe: 1913-
    • N22 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-
    • N24 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - Europe: 1913-
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates

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