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Towards an unstable hook : the evolution of stock market integration since 1913

Author

Listed:
  • Antoine Parent

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Cécile Bastidon

    (UTV - Université de Toulon et du Var)

  • Michael Bordo
  • Marc Weidenmier

    (Chapman University)

Abstract

We examine equity market integration for 17 countries from 1913-2018. We use network analysis to measure the evolution of global stock market integration as well as stock market integration between and across countries. The empirical results suggest that long-run stock market integration looks like an unstable hook. Equity market integration first peaked in 1913 during the first era of globalization (1870-1913) when unfettered markets ruled the day. Integration declined over the next 60 years as countries experienced the Great Depression and shunned international capital markets. The end of the Bretton Woods system in the early 1970s ushered in the second period of globalization. Our empirical analysis suggests that stock market integration in the recent period of globalization has surpassed the first era of globalization in the last 10 years and currently has the highest level of equity market integration and network instability in world history.

Suggested Citation

  • Antoine Parent & Cécile Bastidon & Michael Bordo & Marc Weidenmier, 2019. "Towards an unstable hook : the evolution of stock market integration since 1913," Working Papers hal-03403180, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03403180
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03403180
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Samuel Maveyraud & Antoine Parent, 2018. "The International Contagion of Short-Run Interest Rates During the Great Depression," Studies in Economic History, in: Hugh Rockoff & Isao Suto (ed.), Coping with Financial Crises, chapter 0, pages 17-46, Springer.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Equity market; Stock market; Market integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • N20 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - General, International, or Comparative

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