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Returns, Volatilities, and Correlations Across Mature, Regional, and Frontier Markets: Evidence from South Asia

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  • Abu S. Amin
  • Lucjan T. Orlowski

Abstract

We investigate returns, volatilities, and correlations across mature, dominant regional, and frontier equity markets. Standard & Poor's 500 is chosen as a mature equity market; India is chosen as a dominant regional market; and Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka are chosen as frontier markets. Our empirical tests show that the frontier markets remain fundamentally decoupled from the mature markets during normal market periods. During turbulent times, the contagion effects from the mature to the frontier markets become more pronounced. The results suggest that the dominant regional market plays a key role in disseminating shocks across the frontier markets during normal periods; during the turbulent recent financial crisis period, a similar contagion is not observed.

Suggested Citation

  • Abu S. Amin & Lucjan T. Orlowski, 2014. "Returns, Volatilities, and Correlations Across Mature, Regional, and Frontier Markets: Evidence from South Asia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(3), pages 5-27, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:50:y:2014:i:3:p:5-27
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    Cited by:

    1. Lucjan T Orlowski & Anna Tsibulina, 2014. "Integration of Central and Eastern European and the Euro-Area Financial Markets: Repercussions from the Global Financial Crisis," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 56(3), pages 376-395, September.
    2. Wahbeeah Mohti & Andreia Dionísio & Paulo Ferreira & Isabel Vieira, 2019. "Contagion of the Subprime Financial Crisis on Frontier Stock Markets: A Copula Analysis," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-14, February.
    3. Oussama Tilfani & Paulo Ferreira & My Youssef El Boukfaoui, 2021. "Dynamic cross-correlation and dynamic contagion of stock markets: a sliding windows approach with the DCCA correlation coefficient," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1127-1156, March.
    4. Amanjot Singh & Manjit Singh, 2018. "Co-movement among US, Frontier and BRIC Equity Markets after the Financial Crisis," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(2), pages 311-327, April.
    5. Kutan, Ali M. & Muradoğlu, Yaz G., 2016. "Financial and real sector returns, IMF-related news, and the Asian crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 28-37.
    6. Ali M. Kutan & Yaz Gülnür Muradoğlu & Zhong Yu, 2016. "Worldwide impact of IMF policies during the Asian crisis: who does the IMF help, creditors or crisis countries?," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 116-147, June.
    7. Daugherty, Mary Schmid & Jithendranathan, Thadavillil, 2015. "A study of linkages between frontier markets and the U.S. equity markets using multivariate GARCH and transfer entropy," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 32, pages 95-115.

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