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Real exchange rate and bilateral trade balance of Cambodia: A panel investigation

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Listed:
  • Yannick Bineau

    (LEM - Lille économie management - UMR 9221 - UA - Université d'Artois - UCL - Université catholique de Lille - Université de Lille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

This article investigates the relationship between Cambodia's bilateral trade balance and its fundamental determinants: the real exchange rate and real income differentials between Cambodia and its foreign trading partners. The Panel Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares method is applied to a sample of 10 trading partners for the 1998â€"2014 period on a quarterly basis. The main findings suggest that a devaluation of the real exchange rate significantly improves bilateral trade balance. However, it is not possible to prove that any modification of the real exchange rate will cause a trade balance adjustment that follows the standard J-curve shape, although two of the 10 sampled countries are exceptions. The model also shows that higher foreign partner real incomes relative to domestic real income levels cause a significant inverse change in bilateral trade balance for five of the sampled countries, suggesting that Cambodia is highly dependent on imports.

Suggested Citation

  • Yannick Bineau, 2016. "Real exchange rate and bilateral trade balance of Cambodia: A panel investigation," Post-Print hal-01612436, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01612436
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

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    3. Carlos A. CARRASCO & Edgar D. TOVAR-GARCIA, 2020. "Export Composition and the Eurozone Trade Balance in Manufacturing Goods," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 134-150, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade balance; Real exchange rate; Cambodia; Growth; FMOLS and DOLS Estimators;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables

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