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Estimating the conditional extreme-value index under random right-censoring

Author

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  • Gilles Stupfler

    (School of Mathematical Sciences [Nottingham] - UON - University of Nottingham, UK, GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

In extreme value theory, the extreme-value index is a parameter that controls the behavior of a cumulative distribution function in its right tail. Estimating this parameter is thus the first step when tackling a number of problems related to extreme events. In this paper, we introduce an estimator of the extreme-value index in the presence of a random covariate when the response variable is right-censored, whether its conditional distribution belongs to the Fréchet, Weibull or Gumbel domain of attraction. The pointwise weak consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator are established. Some illustrations on simulations are provided and we showcase the estimator on a real set of medical data.

Suggested Citation

  • Gilles Stupfler, 2016. "Estimating the conditional extreme-value index under random right-censoring," Post-Print hal-01446199, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01446199
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmva.2015.10.015
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yuri Goegebeur & Armelle Guillou & Gilles Stupfler, 2015. "Uniform asymptotic properties of a nonparametric regression estimator of conditional tails," Post-Print hal-01457385, HAL.
    2. Laurent Gardes & Gilles Stupfler, 2015. "Estimating extreme quantiles under random truncation," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 24(2), pages 207-227, June.
    3. Einmahl, J. H.J. & Dekkers, A. L.M. & de Haan, L., 1989. "A moment estimator for the index of an extreme-value distribution," Other publications TiSEM 81970cb3-5b7a-4cad-9bf6-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    4. Daouia, Abdelaati & Gardes, Laurent & Girard, Stephane, 2011. "On kernel smoothing for extremal quantile regression," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2011031, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    5. Laurent Gardes & Gilles Stupfler, 2015. "Estimating extreme quantiles under random truncation," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 24(2), pages 207-227, June.
    6. Laurent Gardes & Gilles Stupfler, 2015. "Erratum to: Estimating extreme quantiles under random truncation," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 24(2), pages 228-228, June.
    7. Abdelaati Daouia & Laurent Gardes & Stéphane Girard & Alexandre Lekina, 2011. "Kernel estimators of extreme level curves," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 20(2), pages 311-333, August.
    8. Wang, Hansheng & Tsai, Chih-Ling, 2009. "Tail Index Regression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(487), pages 1233-1240.
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    Cited by:

    1. Daouia, Abdelaati & Stupfler, Gilles & Usseglio-Carleve, Antoine, 2022. "Inference for extremal regression with dependent heavy-tailed data," TSE Working Papers 22-1324, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised 29 Aug 2023.
    2. Goedele Dierckx & Yuri Goegebeur & Armelle Guillou, 2021. "Local Robust Estimation of Pareto-Type Tails with Random Right Censoring," Sankhya A: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 83(1), pages 70-108, February.
    3. El Methni, Jonathan & Stupfler, Gilles, 2018. "Improved estimators of extreme Wang distortion risk measures for very heavy-tailed distributions," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 6(C), pages 129-148.
    4. Yaolan Ma & Bo Wei & Wei Huang, 2020. "A nonparametric estimator for the conditional tail index of Pareto-type distributions," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 83(1), pages 17-44, January.
    5. Girard, Stéphane & Stupfler, Gilles & Usseglio-Carleve, Antoine, 2022. "Functional estimation of extreme conditional expectiles," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 131-158.
    6. Stéphane Girard & Gilles Stupfler & Antoine Usseglio‐Carleve, 2022. "Nonparametric extreme conditional expectile estimation," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 49(1), pages 78-115, March.
    7. Escobar-Bach, Mikael & Van Keilegom, Ingrid, 2023. "Nonparametric estimation of conditional cure models for heavy-tailed distributions and under insufficient follow-up," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    8. González-Sánchez, Mariano & Nave Pineda, Juan M., 2023. "Where is the distribution tail threshold? A tale on tail and copulas in financial risk measurement," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    9. Goegebeur, Yuri & Guillou, Armelle & Qin, Jing, 2019. "Robust estimation of the Pickands dependence function under random right censoring," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 101-114.

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