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Central bank objectives, monetary policy rules, and limited information

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  • Jonathan Benchimol

    (BoI - Bank of Israel)

Abstract

Since the Global Financial Crisis, a lively debate has emerged regarding the monetary policy rule the central bank of a small open economy (SOE) follows and should follow. By identifying the monetary policy rule that best fits historical data and minimizes central bank loss functions, this study contributes to this debate. We estimate a medium-scale micro-founded SOE model under various monetary policy rules using Israeli data from 1994 to 2019. Our results indicate that the model achieves a better fit to historical data when assuming inflation targeting (IT) compared to nominal income targeting (NGDP). Given central bank goals, shock uncertainty, and limited information, NGDP targeting rules may have been more desirable over the last three decades than IT rules.
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Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan Benchimol, 2024. "Central bank objectives, monetary policy rules, and limited information," Post-Print emse-04624959, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:emse-04624959
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2024.103604
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy rule; Central bank loss; Inflation targeting; NGDP targeting; Limited information;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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