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Nominal GDP Futures Contract Targeting

In: THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS

Author

Listed:
  • W. William Woolsey
  • Scott Sumner

Abstract

Nominal GDP futures contracting is a proposed monetary regime that requires a central bank to buy and sell index futures contracts on nominal GDP at a specified price. The purpose is to harness market forces to the goal of stabilizing the growth path of the total dollar value of spending on goods and services. The central bank adjusts the quantity of money according to trades made by those speculating on the futures contract. The proposed regime provides advantages for macroeconomic stability relative to a more traditional approach to monetary policy such as the Taylor rule, including less disruptive responses to supply shocks, stronger recoveries after demand shocks, and less susceptibility to problems associated with the zero nominal bound on interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • W. William Woolsey & Scott Sumner, 2015. "Nominal GDP Futures Contract Targeting," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 23, pages 751-770, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789814566926_0023
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Hendrickson, Joshua R. & Salter, Alexander W., 2018. "Going beyond monetary constitutions: The congruence of money and finance," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 22-28.
    2. Benchimol, Jonathan, 2024. "Central bank objectives, monetary policy rules, and limited information," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    3. Ryan H. Murphy, 2024. "Prediction markets as meta‐episteme: Artificial intelligence, forecasting tournaments, prediction markets, and economic growth," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 83(2), pages 383-392, March.
    4. Peter J. Boettke & Alexander W. Salter & Daniel J. Smith, 2018. "Money as meta-rule: Buchanan’s constitutional economics as a foundation for monetary stability," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 176(3), pages 529-555, September.
    5. Salter, Alexander William & Young, Andrew T., 2018. "Would a free banking system stabilize NGDP growth?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 21-25.
    6. Sumner, Scott, 2017. "Monetary policy rules in light of the great recession," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PA), pages 90-99.
    7. Benchimol, Jonathan & Fourçans, André, 2019. "Central bank losses and monetary policy rules: A DSGE investigation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 289-303.
    8. Glenn L. Furton & Alexander William Salter, 2017. "Money and the rule of law," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 30(4), pages 517-532, December.
    9. Salter, Alexander William & Tarko, Vlad, 2017. "Polycentric banking and macroeconomic stability," Business and Politics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(2), pages 365-395, June.
    10. James Caton, 2020. "The evolution of Hayek's thought on gold and monetary standards," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 87(1), pages 386-405, July.
    11. Jonathan Benchimol & André Fourçans, 2017. "Monetary Rule, Central Bank Loss and Household’s Welfare: an Empirical Investigation," Globalization Institute Working Papers 329, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

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