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The Global Side of the Investments-Savings Puzzle

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  • Joseph P. Byrne
  • Giorgio Fazio
  • Norbert Fiess

Abstract

In this paper we re-examine the long standing and puzzling correlation between national savings and investment in industrial countries. We apply an econometric methodology that allows us to separate idiosyncratic correlation at the country level from correlation at the global level. In a major break with the existing literature, we find no evidence of a long run relationship in the idiosyncratic components of savings and investment. We also find that the global components in savings and investments commove, indicating that they react to shocks of a global nature.

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  • Joseph P. Byrne & Giorgio Fazio & Norbert Fiess, 2008. "The Global Side of the Investments-Savings Puzzle," Working Papers 2008_14, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    • Handle: RePEc:gla:glaewp:2008_14
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    Cited by:

    1. Jun‐Hyung Ko & Yoshito Funashima, 2019. "On the Sources of the Feldstein–Horioka Puzzle across Time and Frequencies," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(4), pages 889-910, August.
    2. Bangake, Chrysost & Eggoh, Jude C., 2012. "Pooled Mean Group estimation on international capital mobility in African countries," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 7-17.
    3. Hevia, Constantino & Servén, Luis, 2018. "Assessing the degree of international consumption risk sharing," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 176-190.
    4. Drakos, Anastassios A. & Kouretas, Georgios P. & Stavroyiannis, Stavros & Zarangas, Leonidas, 2017. "Is the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle still with us? National saving-investment dynamics and international capital mobility: A panel data analysis across EU member countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 76-88.
    5. Kateřina Šímová, 2020. "Verification of Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle (Example of European Union Countries) [Verifikace Feldsteinovy–Horiokovy hádanky (příklad zemí Evropské unie)]," Český finanční a účetní časopis, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(2).
    6. Joseph P. Byrne & Norbert Fiess, 2011. "International capital flows to emerging and developing countries: national and global determinants," Working Papers 2011_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    7. Kumar, Saten, 2015. "Regional integration, capital mobility and financial intermediation revisited: Application of general to specific method in panel data," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 1-17.
    8. Costantini, Mauro & Gutierrez, Luciano, 2013. "Capital mobility and global factor shocks," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 513-515.
    9. Byrne, Joseph P & Fazio, Giorgio & Fiess, Norbert, 2010. "Optimism and commitment: An elementary theory of bargaining and war," SIRE Discussion Papers 2010-102, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    10. Kateřina Šímová, 2020. "Verification of Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle (Example of European Union Countries) [Verifikace Feldsteinovy-Horiokovy hádanky (příklad zemí Evropské unie)]," Český finanční a účetní časopis, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(2), pages 43-60.
    11. Byrne, Joseph P. & Fazio, Giorgio & Fiess, Norbert, 2013. "Primary commodity prices: Co-movements, common factors and fundamentals," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 16-26.
    12. Ginama, Isamu & Hayakawa, Kazuhiko & Kanmei, Takahiro, 2018. "Examining the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle using common factor panels and interval estimation," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 11-21.
    13. Mariam Camarero & Alejandro Muñoz & Cecilio Tamarit, 2022. "The rise and fall of global financial flows in EU 15: new evidence using dynamic panels with common correlated effects," Working Papers 2212, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    14. Lim, Jamus Jerome, 2014. "Institutional and structural determinants of investment worldwide," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 160-177.
    15. Joseph P. Byrne & Fatima Kaneez & Alexandros Kontonikas, 2010. "Inflation and Globalisation: A Dynamic Factor Model with Stochastic Volatility," Working Papers 2010_09, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    16. Weiping Li & Guotai Chi & Lan Wu, 2015. "Empirical Study on Saving and Investment Relation in China: 1952¡ª2011," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 5, pages 81-99, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Savings; Investment; Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle; Panel Nonstationarity; Principal Components.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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