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An Equilibrium Model of Habitat Conservation under Uncertainty and Irreversibility

Author

Listed:
  • Luca Di Corato

    (Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences)

  • Michele Moretto

    (University of Padova, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and Centro Studi Levi-Cases)

  • Sergio Vergalli

    (University of Brescia and Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)

Abstract

In this paper stochastic dynamic programming is used to investigate habitat conservation by a multitude of landholders under uncertainty about the value of environmental services and irreversible development. We study land conversion under competition on the market for agricultural products when voluntary and mandatory measures are combined by the Government to induce adequate participation in a conservation plan. We analytically determine the impact of uncertainty and optimal policy conversion dynamics and discuss different policy scenarios on the basis of the relative long-run expected rate of deforestation. Finally, some numerical simulations are provided to illustrate our findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Luca Di Corato & Michele Moretto & Sergio Vergalli, 2010. "An Equilibrium Model of Habitat Conservation under Uncertainty and Irreversibility," Working Papers 2010.160, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    • Handle: RePEc:fem:femwpa:2010.160
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Unknown, 2004. "Impacts of Native Vegetation and Biodiversity Regulations," Inquiry Reports 31891, Productivity Commission.
    2. Maestad, Ottar, 2001. "Timber trade restrictions and tropical deforestation: a forest mining approach," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 111-132, April.
    3. Productivity Commission, 2004. "Impacts of Native Vegetation and Biodiversity Regulations," Urban/Regional 0410004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Cited by:

    1. Di Corato, Luca, 2012. "Optimal conservation policy under imperfect intergenerational altruism," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 194-206.
    2. Luca Corato & Michele Moretto & Sergio Vergalli, 2013. "Land conversion pace under uncertainty and irreversibility: too fast or too slow?," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 110(1), pages 45-82, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Optimal Stopping; Deforestation; Payments For Environmental Services; Natural Resources Management;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • Q24 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Land
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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