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Notas sobre las proyecciones de gasto en pensiones del MISSMI

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  • Angel de Fuente (coordinador)

Abstract

El Ministerio de Inclusión, Seguridad Social y Migraciones (MISSMI) ha publicado recientemente un informe con sus proyecciones de la evolución del gasto público en pensiones a medio y largo plazo y de los efectos esperados de las medidas de ingreso recogidas en la reciente reforma de 2021-23. El informe dibuja un panorama optimista sobre las perspectivas financieras de nuestro sistema público de pensiones tras la reforma, que según los cálculos del Ministerio tendrá un efecto prácticamente nulo sobre su saldo presupuestario en el conjunto del período 2022-2050 y dejará el gasto medio durante el mismo período holgadamente por debajo del nivel que activaría la cláusula de salvaguarda del MEI. En este escenario, por tanto, no sería necesario subir las cotizaciones sociales o tomar otras medidas compensatorias.

Suggested Citation

  • Angel de Fuente (coordinador), 2023. "Notas sobre las proyecciones de gasto en pensiones del MISSMI," Studies on the Spanish Economy eee2023-31, FEDEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:fda:fdaeee:eee2023-31
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jeffrey Frankel, 2011. "Over-optimism in forecasts by official budget agencies and its implications," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 27(4), pages 536-562.
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