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Un modèle d’équilibre général dynamique pour une petite économie ouverte avec des effets Balassa-Samuelson

Author

Listed:
  • Riadh El Ferktaji

    (IHEC de Carthage ECOFI)

  • Ferhat Mihoubi

    (Université d'Evry EPEE)

Abstract

Pour rendre compte des chocs qui ont affecté l’économie Tunisienne durant les vingt dernières années, nous montrons dans un premier temps que des effets Balassa-Samuelson sont à l’oeuvre. Afin de reproduire les principaux faits stylisés, le modèle dynamique d’équilibre général bisectoriel (exposé et abrité) construit comporte, dans un contexte de concurrence monopolistique, des négociations salariales en présence d’une parfaite mobilité intersectorielle du travail et des rigidités nominales sur les prix. Ce modèle permet d’expliquer l’évolution du taux de change réel et des principaux agrégats. La forte dépréciation du taux de change réel en 1986-1988 peut être reproduit e par un choc négatif de demande mondiale et par une modération salariale durant le programme d’ajustement structurel. L’appréciation du taux de change réel qui a suivi serait pour sa part la conséquence de gains de productivité dans le secteur exposé et de la levée des quotas sur le textile.

Suggested Citation

  • Riadh El Ferktaji & Ferhat Mihoubi, 2006. "Un modèle d’équilibre général dynamique pour une petite économie ouverte avec des effets Balassa-Samuelson," Documents de recherche 06-07, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    • Handle: RePEc:eve:wpaper:06-07
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Effet Balassa-Samuelson; Equilibre général dynamique; Négociations salariales; choc de productivité;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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