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ICT, Reallocation and Productivity

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  • Eric J. Bartelsman

Abstract

This paper starts by reviewing medium- to long-term growth prospects provided in recent academic and policy research. The paper argues that, owing to the on-going advances in ICT, much higher growth is technologically feasible, but that a considerable amount of churn and reallocation across firms in the market sector. Next, the paper presents evidence on recent patterns of reallocation in EU countries. Based on theoretical findings from heterogeneous firm dynamics models, the paper will describe how various types of policy could affect the processes of allocation and selection and thereby growth prospects. Finally, the paper will combine empirical and theoretical insights to point towards promising policy directions. Conditional on the policy environment, labor productivity growth in the EU of 2.5 percent per year for the next 20-30 years appears attainable.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric J. Bartelsman, 2013. "ICT, Reallocation and Productivity," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 486, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    • Handle: RePEc:euf:ecopap:0486
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    Cited by:

    1. Halmai, Péter, 2015. "Structural Reforms and Growth Potential in the European Union," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, vol. 60(4), pages 510-525.
    2. Cette, Gilbert & Fernald, John & Mojon, Benoît, 2016. "The pre-Great Recession slowdown in productivity," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 3-20.
    3. Jimeno, Juan F., 2015. "Long-lasting consequences of the European crisis," Working Paper Series 1832, European Central Bank.
    4. Michael Polder & Hugo Bondt & George Leeuwen, 2018. "Business dynamics, industry productivity growth, and the distribution of firm-level performance: evidence for the role of ICT using Dutch firm-level data," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 43(6), pages 1522-1541, December.
    5. Natália Barbosa & Ana Paula faria, 2022. "Digital adoption and productivity: understanding micro drivers of the aggregate effect," GEE Papers 0162, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Jun 2022.
    6. Halmai, Péter, 2018. "Az európai növekedési modell kifulladása [Exhaustion of the European economic model]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(2), pages 122-160.
    7. Nicholas Crafts, 2017. "Is Slow Economic Growth the ‘New Normal’ for Europe?," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 45(3), pages 283-297, September.
    8. Chun, Hyunbae & Kim, Jung-Wook & Lee, Jason, 2015. "How does information technology improve aggregate productivity? A new channel of productivity dispersion and reallocation," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 999-1016.
    9. Deborah Giustini, 2021. "The Impact Of Labour Market Trends On The Employment Of R&D Personnel: A Literature Review," HSE Working papers WP BRP 117/STI/2021, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    10. Nicoletti, Giuseppe & von Rueden, Christina & Andrews, Dan, 2020. "Digital technology diffusion: A matter of capabilities, incentives or both?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    11. Paul Conway, 2016. "Achieving New Zealand's productivity potential," Working Papers 2016/01, New Zealand Productivity Commission.
    12. Matthias Figo & Peter Mayerhofer, 2015. "Strukturwandel und regionales Wachstum - wissensintensive Unternehmensdienste als Wachstumsmotor?," Working Paper Reihe der AK Wien - Materialien zu Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft 145, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik.
    13. Peter Mayerhofer & Matthias Firgo, 2015. "Wissensintensive Unternehmensdienste, Wissens-Spillovers und regionales Wachstum. Teilprojekt 2: Strukturwandel und regionales Wachstum – Wissensintensive Unternehmensdienste als "Wachstumsmotor&," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 58503.
    14. John G. Fernald, 2016. "Reassessing Longer-Run U.S. Growth: How Low?," Working Paper Series 2016-18, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    15. Bart van ARK, 2015. "Productivity and Digitilization in Europe: Paving the Road to Faster Growth," Communications & Strategies, IDATE, Com&Strat dept., vol. 1(100), pages 107-124, 4th quart.
    16. Falk, Martin & Hagsten, Eva, 2015. "E-commerce trends and impacts across Europe," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(PA), pages 357-369.
    17. Natália Barbosa, 2024. "Artificial Intelligence and exporting performance:Firm-level evidence from Portugal," GEE Papers 183, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Sep 2024.
    18. Fiammetta Rossetti, 2017. "The Business Demography of the ICT Sector in Europe," JRC Research Reports JRC106589, Joint Research Centre.
    19. Eric J. Bartelsman & Martin Falk & Eva Hagsten & Michael Polder, 2019. "Productivity, technological innovations and broadband connectivity: firm-level evidence for ten European countries," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(1), pages 25-48, March.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • L16 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics; Macroeconomic Industrial Structure
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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