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How Sensitive is Irish Income Tax Revenue to Underlying Economic Activity?

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  • Deli, Yota
  • Lambert, Derek
  • Lawless, Martina
  • McQuinn, Kieran
  • Morgenroth, Edgar

Abstract

In this paper we examine the elasticity of Irish personal income taxation revenue with respect to aggregate national output – both GDP and GNP. This enables us to estimate the sensitivity of this key taxation aggregate with respect to changes in economic activity. Understanding the elasticity of the different taxation components vis-à-vis their underlying economic activity should enable policymakers to place the public finances on a more sustainable footing and hence avoid the sharp booms and busts that have characterised Irish taxation receipts over the past 20 years.
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  • Deli, Yota & Lambert, Derek & Lawless, Martina & McQuinn, Kieran & Morgenroth, Edgar, 2016. "How Sensitive is Irish Income Tax Revenue to Underlying Economic Activity?," Papers WP540, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    • Handle: RePEc:esr:wpaper:wp540
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dye, Richard F. & McGuire, Therese J., 1991. "Growth and Variability of State Individual Income and General Sales Taxes," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association, vol. 44(1), pages 55-66, March.
    2. Acheson, Jean & Deli, Yota & Lambert, Derek & Morgenroth, Edgar, 2017. "Income tax revenue elasticities in Ireland: an analytical approach," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number RS59.
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    Cited by:

    1. Deli, Yota & Rodriguez, Abian Garcia & Kostarakos, Ilias & Varthalitis, Petros, 2018. "Dynamic tax revenue buoyancy estimates for a panel of OECD countries," Papers WP592, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    2. Acheson, Jean & Deli, Yota & Lambert, Derek & Morgenroth, Edgar, 2017. "Income tax revenue elasticities in Ireland: an analytical approach," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number RS59.

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